This page is the public record of what Framler is and how fast it grows. We publish what we have — engine breadth, accumulated calibration data, shipping velocity — without the «100M users in Q3» slogans. User-growth cohort tables go live once the sample is big enough to mean something.
Honest disclosure. Framler launched mid-May 2026. The numbers below are real engine activity. We deliberately do not publish weekly-signup or week-1 / week-4 retention yet — sample is too thin to read as signal. Those tiles land here as soon as the threshold is meaningful.
The engine self-grades against forward returns. Every score becomes a calibration sample once the horizon closes — these are the rows the weekly calibration cron has accumulated to date.
Distinct UTC dates with a published universe snapshot
Mondrian bins calibrated
3
Per-regime × tail × horizon partitions. See methodology.
Factor-weight runs
6
Bayesian posterior weight calibrations. See track record.
Roadmap milestones
Calendar-driven activations of new factors. None of these auto-flip — each goes live only when its out-of-sample measurement window clears the gate.
2026-06-02
HAR-RV variance forecast — activation
Corsi 2009 heterogeneous-autoregressive realised vol. Pass 1 cross-section ρ already at 0.725 (healthy distinct signal); Pass 2 MSE comparison gates the blend-coefficient flip once signal_history accumulates ~7 trading days of paired data.
2026-06-15
Analyst trend factor — activation
Phase 1+2 observe-only since 2026-05-17. Adds analyst-revision direction to the composite once 30 days of IC measurement accumulate.
2026-06-26
30-day horizon calibration matures
First complete 30-day forward-return window post-engine-live. The weekly accuracy-check cron publishes the IC + hit-rate tile automatically.
2026-07-01
IVRP factor — activation
Implied-vs-realised-vol risk premium (Bali-Cakici-Whitelaw 2011). Same Phase 3 gate as analyst_trend.
2026-09-15
90-day horizon calibration matures
The deep-horizon track record fills in. Pro tier launches the same quarter once the 90-day IC clears its band.
User cohorts
Not yet published
Weekly signups, week-1 retention, week-4 retention, and watchlist activation rate publish here once the sample is meaningful — current early-access cohort is under the threshold at which those numbers would be honest signal vs noise.
What we will publish: anonymised counts only — never per-user activity. The measurement methodology lands here at the same time as the first numbers.
Where to go next
For engine accuracy numbers, see Track Record. For the investor pitch, see Investors. For the full per-factor walkthrough, see Methodology.