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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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Block Inc. (XYZ) company logo
Financial Services · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

XYZ STOCK · Block Inc. NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$74.33+0.39%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
40
⚠Sector calibration · weak
Engine accuracy in Financial Services has been negative on recent rolling windows — the composite has read against the realised direction. Do not act on the composite alone. Rely on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow until the next calibration window restores edge.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Options Flow
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 52.0%mean ret +0.49%n=2501Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookBelow-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why XYZ scores 40

  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Quality metrics weak — margins or leverage flagged
  • -Sector underperforming broader market

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on XYZ? — 99 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 43 OF 99 DAYS — RIGHT 29 · WRONG 14
-10%-5%0%+5%+10%2026-05-11: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.71% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 51) — stock went -5.47% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.14% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 48) — stock went -4.82% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: we said UP (score 67), stock went -1.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-19: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.07% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said UP (score 66), stock went +3.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-21: no call (score 45) — stock went +4.88% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 66), stock went +10.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 49) — stock went +11.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 49) — stock went +8.92% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.91% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: we said UP (score 63), stock went -0.74% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-29: we said UP (score 62), stock went -8.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-01: we said UP (score 62), stock went -7.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 64), stock went -10.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said UP (score 76), stock went -10.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.02% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 44) — stock went -1.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 55) — stock went +9.10% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 42) — stock went +6.81% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: we said UP (score 63), stock went +6.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said UP (score 66), stock went +12.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: no call (score 46) — stock went +5.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 65), stock went +5.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said UP (score 64), stock went -2.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 64), stock went +1.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: no call (score 51) — stock went +4.07% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +4.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said UP (score 63), stock went +4.01% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: no call (score 49) — stock went +6.58% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 48) — stock went +4.16% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said UP (score 75), stock went +6.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: no call (score 46) — stock went +1.41% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.59% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: we said UP (score 70), stock went +0.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.38% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.94% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: we said UP (score 71), stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: no call (score 45) — stock went +6.49% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 46) — stock went +3.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: no call (score 48) — stock went +2.11% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.16% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 58) — stock went -6.50% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 58) — stock went -5.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.63% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 47) — stock went +4.81% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +2.24% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: no call (score 44) — stock went +6.62% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 45) — stock went +6.21% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 45) — stock went +6.40% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +4.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +1.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.85% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -4.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -2.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -3.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -7.51% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: no call (score 45) — stock went -1.32% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.88% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 46) — stock went +1.52% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: we said UP (score 70), stock went +0.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-12: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.47% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.30% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.12% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.14% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 45) — stock went +4.62% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: we said UP (score 67), stock went +4.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-21: we said UP (score 70), stock went +4.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-24: we said UP (score 67), stock went -0.17% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-25: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.30% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -0.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-27: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went +0.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-28: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -2.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-31: no call (score 43) — stock went -4.15% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 43) — stock went -2.34% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.95% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -4.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-04: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -4.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-07: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -3.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: no call (score 46) — stock went -5.38% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -4.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-10: no call (score 42) — stock went -3.69% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.53% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -1.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-15: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -6.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-16: no call (score 49) — stock went -4.64% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.14% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 43) — stock went -0.07% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 47) — stock went -3.89% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.95% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -5.16% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-24: no call (score 43) — stock went -0.86% over the next 7 daysMay 11Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what XYZ actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.