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Woodside Energy (WDS) company logo
Energy · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

WDS STOCK · Woodside Energy NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$21.79-0.05%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
52
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Energy has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Sector Spillover
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 50.8%mean ret +0.45%n=6652Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookMiddle of universe — weak directional signal this week🔒 Sign in for number

Why WDS scores 52

  • +Adjacent industry leaders rallying (Cohen-Frazzini)
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind
  • -Options skew negative — hedging flow elevated

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on WDS? — 103 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 12 OF 103 DAYS — RIGHT 4 · WRONG 8

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On WDS they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-10%-5%0%+5%+10%2026-05-05: no call (score 49) — stock went -4.13% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 49) — stock went -4.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.45% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-08: no call (score 42) — stock went +4.88% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.29% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-12: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.38% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.21% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 52) — stock went -5.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 56) — stock went -5.80% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 57) — stock went -6.75% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 53) — stock went -4.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 43) — stock went -3.24% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.77% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -0.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.81% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 47) — stock went -2.07% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 52) — stock went -2.13% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.64% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.41% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.14% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.15% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 54) — stock went -7.46% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 44) — stock went -8.99% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 57) — stock went -6.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -12.18% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: no call (score 52) — stock went -4.36% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 41) — stock went -8.28% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.17% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 46) — stock went -5.54% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -4.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.64% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.18% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +1.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.48% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 49) — stock went +3.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.97% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.47% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 41) — stock went +3.28% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 51) — stock went +5.07% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 43) — stock went +7.68% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 45) — stock went +5.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 51) — stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 53) — stock went +8.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 42) — stock went +7.28% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 43) — stock went +8.28% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 51) — stock went +6.66% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 48) — stock went +6.99% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +9.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +0.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-21: no call (score 45) — stock went +2.26% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 41) — stock went +4.50% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 52) — stock went +4.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 46) — stock went +5.01% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 46) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.84% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 47) — stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 55) — stock went -2.28% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 51) — stock went -4.11% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 51) — stock went -1.66% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: no call (score 48) — stock went +2.69% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.41% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went +3.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-07: no call (score 54) — stock went +2.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 41) — stock went +5.31% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 51) — stock went +1.69% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 42) — stock went +2.53% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 43) — stock went +5.05% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 44) — stock went +6.71% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 53) — stock went +2.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.18% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 47) — stock went -2.39% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.51% over the next 7 days2026-08-21: no call (score 52) — stock went -4.39% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 42) — stock went -4.32% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went +0.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-26: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +4.24% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-27: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +3.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-28: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.23% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: no call (score 48) — stock went +1.82% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.86% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.21% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.25% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: no call (score 47) — stock went -0.13% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: no call (score 54) — stock went +4.26% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 52) — stock went +5.31% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.75% over the next 7 days2026-09-10: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.40% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: we said UP (score 60), stock went -3.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-14: no call (score 53) — stock went -4.14% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: no call (score 45) — stock went -6.57% over the next 7 days2026-09-16: no call (score 55) — stock went -7.51% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.34% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 48) — stock went -6.65% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 55) — stock went -4.66% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 59) — stock went -4.45% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.71% over the next 7 daysMay 5Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what WDS actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.