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Waystar (WAY) company logo
Healthcare · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

WAY STOCK · Waystar BullishMulti-factor aligned

$24.84+0.00%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
62
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Healthcare has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [12–95]Top driver: NLP Tone
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 57.6%mean ret +2.51%n=3927Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why WAY scores 62

  • -Defensive / negative MD&A language flagged
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on WAY? — 31 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 26 OF 31 DAYS — RIGHT 15 · WRONG 11
-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-07-01: we said UP (score 62), stock went +10.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said UP (score 64), stock went +8.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: no call (score 58) — stock went -4.39% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.83% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said UP (score 60), stock went -7.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said UP (score 60), stock went -6.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said UP (score 64), stock went +1.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 67), stock went -3.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-07-13: we said UP (score 61), stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said UP (score 62), stock went -6.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: we said UP (score 72), stock went -6.31% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said UP (score 62), stock went -4.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said UP (score 65), stock went +7.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 65), stock went +13.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.72% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-27: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said UP (score 64), stock went +2.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 63), stock went -1.31% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: we said UP (score 63), stock went -4.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-31: we said UP (score 70), stock went +15.71% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said UP (score 70), stock went +17.01% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said UP (score 61), stock went +7.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 64), stock went +3.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 77), stock went +7.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went +6.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.86% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.54% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHTJul 1Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what WAY actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.