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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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The Trade Desk (TTD) company logo
Technology · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

TTD STOCK · The Trade Desk BullishMulti-factor aligned

$11.95-1.24%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
57
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Technology has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Options Flow
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why TTD scores 57

  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind
  • -Heavy short interest with downward momentum

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on TTD? — 112 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 71 OF 112 DAYS — RIGHT 27 · WRONG 44
-30%-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-22: no call (score 53) — stock went +5.04% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 95), stock went +0.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-24: we said UP (score 72), stock went +7.16% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-27: we said UP (score 84), stock went +0.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 85), stock went +6.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said UP (score 65), stock went +3.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-30: we said UP (score 84), stock went -3.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-01: we said UP (score 85), stock went -2.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-04: we said UP (score 70), stock went -11.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-05: no call (score 56) — stock went -14.10% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 56) — stock went -16.74% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 51) — stock went -14.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 54) — stock went -9.96% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.73% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.67% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 52) — stock went +3.24% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 52) — stock went +3.86% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 55) — stock went +9.65% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.87% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.40% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said UP (score 76), stock went +5.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.32% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: we said UP (score 76), stock went +3.75% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: we said UP (score 76), stock went -5.72% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: we said UP (score 76), stock went -7.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-28: we said UP (score 78), stock went -5.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-29: we said UP (score 60), stock went -5.67% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-01: no call (score 59) — stock went -9.88% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 57) — stock went -14.34% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said UP (score 75), stock went -8.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: no call (score 57) — stock went -8.07% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 55) — stock went -8.32% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 77), stock went -3.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 52) — stock went -8.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: we said UP (score 86), stock went -4.04% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: we said UP (score 62), stock went -4.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 73), stock went -6.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 73), stock went -6.95% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 60), stock went -6.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: we said UP (score 72), stock went -4.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said UP (score 63), stock went -0.76% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: we said UP (score 79), stock went +0.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said UP (score 77), stock went +0.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 68), stock went +6.80% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: we said UP (score 70), stock went +7.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: no call (score 59) — stock went +11.43% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 50) — stock went +5.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: we said UP (score 89), stock went +2.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said UP (score 73), stock went +5.48% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said UP (score 72), stock went +3.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said UP (score 88), stock went +2.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said UP (score 74), stock went +3.61% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said UP (score 71), stock went -1.92% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.77% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 87), stock went +0.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 75), stock went -5.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: we said UP (score 76), stock went -4.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said UP (score 68), stock went -7.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: no call (score 58) — stock went -7.18% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said UP (score 76), stock went -13.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said UP (score 68), stock went -9.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said UP (score 68), stock went -3.82% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-21: we said UP (score 75), stock went +1.45% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 76), stock went +4.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 67), stock went +3.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 65), stock went +7.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said UP (score 65), stock went +5.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said UP (score 75), stock went +8.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 76), stock went +0.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-30: we said UP (score 75), stock went -7.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-31: we said UP (score 62), stock went -24.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said UP (score 62), stock went -25.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-04: we said UP (score 61), stock went -25.90% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: we said UP (score 76), stock went -30.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: we said UP (score 60), stock went -23.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-07: we said UP (score 65), stock went -19.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-10: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.90% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.22% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: we said UP (score 77), stock went -0.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-13: we said UP (score 78), stock went -1.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-14: we said UP (score 60), stock went -9.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-17: we said UP (score 65), stock went -6.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-18: we said UP (score 62), stock went -1.12% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-19: no call (score 54) — stock went -2.91% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: we said UP (score 75), stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-21: no call (score 53) — stock went +1.88% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.10% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 58) — stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 57) — stock went +9.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 57) — stock went +15.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: we said UP (score 87), stock went +7.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-31: we said UP (score 76), stock went +3.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-01: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.19% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.73% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: we said UP (score 92), stock went -3.99% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-04: we said UP (score 77), stock went -4.97% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-07: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.74% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 52) — stock went +3.95% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-10: no call (score 53) — stock went +2.74% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 53) — stock went -0.36% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: we said UP (score 77), stock went -3.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-15: we said UP (score 77), stock went -11.96% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-16: we said UP (score 79), stock went -15.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-17: we said UP (score 90), stock went -12.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-18: no call (score 54) — stock went -11.64% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 58) — stock went -11.35% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: we said UP (score 63), stock went -13.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-23: no call (score 58) — stock went -7.66% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: we said UP (score 65), stock went -4.57% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 22Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what TTD actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.