Framler
Signal Feed
WatchlistTrack Record
⌕
LIVE
Framler · © 2026
Engine
MethodologySectorsPatternsCompareAlternativesScreenersGlossaryTrack RecordSleeve P&LShort SqueezeTop Rated
Research moat
MoatResearchCase Study: NVDA
Company
InvestorsPressBlogChangelogRoadmapAPIAboutContact
FEATURED ANALYSISNVDATSLAAAPLAMDMSFTMETA
Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
TRUSTThe BetLedgerStatusSecurity·LEGALTermsPrivacyDisclaimer
← TOST FULL ANALYSIS

Toast Inc. (TOST) Forecast

Technology$35.32+0.46%

Framler has scored Toast Inc. daily since May 5 — 78 published scores, of which 72 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

72bullish
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 72(90%-target range: 22–95 · agreement 58%)

Our daily score for TOST — last 78 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-05-05 score 442026-05-06 score 442026-05-07 score 602026-05-08 score 442026-05-11 score 452026-05-12 score 452026-05-13 score 532026-05-14 score 532026-05-15 score 552026-05-18 score 592026-05-19 score 592026-05-20 score 512026-05-21 score 592026-05-22 score 652026-05-25 score 592026-05-26 score 612026-05-27 score 612026-05-28 score 642026-05-29 score 642026-06-01 score 592026-06-02 score 582026-06-03 score 632026-06-04 score 582026-06-05 score 582026-06-08 score 622026-06-09 score 622026-06-10 score 622026-06-11 score 632026-06-12 score 592026-06-15 score 662026-06-16 score 632026-06-17 score 692026-06-18 score 662026-06-19 score 662026-06-22 score 642026-06-23 score 672026-06-24 score 672026-06-25 score 652026-06-26 score 682026-06-29 score 682026-06-30 score 602026-07-01 score 602026-07-02 score 602026-07-03 score 582026-07-06 score 592026-07-07 score 612026-07-08 score 592026-07-09 score 592026-07-10 score 682026-07-13 score 642026-07-14 score 642026-07-15 score 642026-07-16 score 642026-07-17 score 612026-07-20 score 612026-07-21 score 602026-07-22 score 622026-07-23 score 662026-07-24 score 512026-07-27 score 512026-07-28 score 672026-07-29 score 652026-07-30 score 652026-07-31 score 552026-08-03 score 552026-08-04 score 662026-08-05 score 692026-08-06 score 602026-08-07 score 682026-08-10 score 572026-08-11 score 732026-08-12 score 562026-08-13 score 552026-08-14 score 642026-08-17 score 562026-08-18 score 862026-08-19 score 722026-08-20 score 72May 5Aug 20

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for TOST each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 48 of these 78 days sat in the green zone — the model has been leaning positive on this stock. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on TOST? — 72 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 44 OF 72 DAYS — RIGHT 33 · WRONG 11
-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%2026-05-05: no call (score 44) — stock went -18.50% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 44) — stock went -21.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: we said UP (score 60), stock went -18.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG
Current RegimeRISK ON

Markets are in an expansionary regime. Momentum and growth factors tend to perform well.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
Options FlowSTRONG
Earnings DriftSTRONG
AccrualsSTRONG
Sector SpilloverGOOD
Sector MomentumGOOD
BEARISH FACTORS
NLP TonePOOR

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for TOST a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full TOST analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -21.55% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 45) — stock went -6.24% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 45) — stock went -4.01% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 53) — stock went +3.48% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 53) — stock went +3.18% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.39% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.17% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 51) — stock went +5.51% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 59) — stock went +7.03% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 65), stock went +12.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 59) — stock went +19.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said UP (score 61), stock went +13.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 61), stock went +7.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 64), stock went +2.94% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: we said UP (score 64), stock went -1.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-01: no call (score 59) — stock went -7.41% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 58) — stock went -9.88% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said UP (score 63), stock went -7.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: we said UP (score 62), stock went +4.02% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-11: we said UP (score 63), stock went +1.48% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: no call (score 59) — stock went -1.74% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 66), stock went -2.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 63), stock went -2.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 69), stock went +3.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: we said UP (score 66), stock went +5.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: we said UP (score 66), stock went +9.81% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said UP (score 64), stock went +14.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said UP (score 67), stock went +14.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 67), stock went +17.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: we said UP (score 65), stock went +10.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 68), stock went +14.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said UP (score 68), stock went +8.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.73% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.96% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.99% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 59) — stock went +6.16% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: we said UP (score 68), stock went +4.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 64), stock went +5.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: we said UP (score 64), stock went +1.37% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-15: we said UP (score 64), stock went -2.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said UP (score 64), stock went -6.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said UP (score 61), stock went -4.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.83% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 62), stock went +7.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 66), stock went +12.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: no call (score 51) — stock went +13.63% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 51) — stock went +12.91% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 67), stock went +9.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 65), stock went +7.61% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-30: we said UP (score 65), stock went +6.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-31: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.96% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 55) — stock went +10.60% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: we said UP (score 66), stock went +6.37% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 69), stock went +0.74% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 68), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-10: no call (score 57) — stock went -0.46% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: we said UP (score 73), stock went -2.07% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-12: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.80% over the next 7 daysMay 5Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what TOST actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.