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← TKO FULL ANALYSIS

TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Forecast

Communication Services$175.58-0.26%

Framler has scored TKO Group Holdings daily since Aug 17 — 35 published scores, of which 29 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

54mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 54(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 56%)

Our daily score for TKO — last 35 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-08-17 score 682026-08-18 score 682026-08-19 score 582026-08-20 score 682026-08-21 score 662026-08-24 score 572026-08-25 score 572026-08-26 score 602026-08-27 score 602026-08-28 score 522026-08-31 score 772026-09-01 score 772026-09-02 score 512026-09-03 score 542026-09-04 score 802026-09-07 score 572026-09-08 score 532026-09-09 score 672026-09-10 score 832026-09-11 score 512026-09-14 score 572026-09-15 score 572026-09-16 score 692026-09-17 score 512026-09-18 score 832026-09-21 score 692026-09-22 score 532026-09-23 score 602026-09-24 score 532026-09-25 score 822026-09-28 score 552026-09-29 score 552026-09-30 score 552026-10-01 score 522026-10-02 score 59Aug 17Oct 2

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for TKO each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 19 of these 35 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on TKO? — 29 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 15 OF 29 DAYS — RIGHT 4 · WRONG 11
-5%0%+5%2026-08-17: we said UP (score 68), stock went -3.90% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-18: we said UP (score 68), stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-19: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.19% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: we said UP (score 68), stock went -8.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-21: we said UP (score 66), stock went -5.53% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-24: no call (score 57) — stock went -5.45% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 57) — stock went -5.76% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-27: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.81% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-28: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.91% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: we said UP (score 77), stock went +5.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
Current RegimeTRANSITION

Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
AccrualsSTRONG
BEARISH FACTORS
NLP TonePOOR
Short InterestWEAK
Sector SpilloverWEAK
Sector MomentumWEAK

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for TKO a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full TKO analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-09-01: we said UP (score 77), stock went +6.96% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-02: no call (score 51) — stock went +4.83% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 54) — stock went -0.08% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: we said UP (score 80), stock went +0.47% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-07: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.14% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 53) — stock went +2.21% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: we said UP (score 67), stock went -1.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-10: we said UP (score 83), stock went -0.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-11: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.20% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.43% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.40% over the next 7 days2026-09-16: we said UP (score 69), stock went -0.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-17: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.83% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: we said UP (score 83), stock went -3.50% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-21: we said UP (score 69), stock went -4.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: no call (score 53) — stock went -7.08% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: we said UP (score 60), stock went -4.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-24: no call (score 53) — stock went -6.90% over the next 7 daysAug 17Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what TKO actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.