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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) company logo
Financial Services · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

SOFI STOCK · SoFi Technologies BullishMulti-factor aligned

$17.92-2.71%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
68
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Financial Services has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [18–95]Top driver: Momentum
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 57.6%mean ret +2.51%n=3927Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookTop decile — strong factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why SOFI scores 68

  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Accrual quality weak — earnings ahead of cash flow

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

Unlock the full SOFI report
Free during early access · no credit card · 1,000+ stocks tracked daily
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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on SOFI? — 81 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 72 OF 81 DAYS — RIGHT 32 · WRONG 40
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-22: no call (score 46) — stock went -17.55% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 93), stock went -15.53% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went -10.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-27: we said UP (score 76), stock went -12.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: we said DOWN (score 20), stock went -14.61% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said DOWN (score 20), stock went -11.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-30: we said DOWN (score 20), stock went +3.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-01: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.17% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went -1.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: no call (score 55) — stock went -0.75% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 55) — stock went -4.43% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.72% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: we said UP (score 69), stock went -2.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-11: we said UP (score 68), stock went -2.29% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-12: we said UP (score 68), stock went -6.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-13: we said UP (score 69), stock went +1.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 69), stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -2.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +2.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-19: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.72% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +6.17% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-21: no call (score 53) — stock went +8.16% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 70), stock went +16.42% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 56) — stock went +18.95% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said DOWN (score 24), stock went +13.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +4.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-28: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went +6.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-29: we said UP (score 68), stock went -5.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-01: we said UP (score 67), stock went -9.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 66), stock went -11.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said UP (score 67), stock went -10.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said UP (score 68), stock went -0.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went -3.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-08: we said UP (score 68), stock went +6.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went +7.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-10: we said UP (score 67), stock went +5.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said UP (score 74), stock went +12.85% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went +2.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 71), stock went +3.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went +0.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -2.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: we said UP (score 69), stock went -0.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -0.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said UP (score 68), stock went +1.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went +4.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-24: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went +6.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-25: we said UP (score 68), stock went +5.37% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 21), stock went +7.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +4.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-30: we said UP (score 70), stock went -2.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-01: we said UP (score 71), stock went -1.12% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-02: we said UP (score 72), stock went +0.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +2.96% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 24), stock went -0.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went -0.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +3.49% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -2.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -7.20% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 68), stock went -9.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went -2.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-15: we said UP (score 68), stock went -7.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 21), stock went -6.83% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went -4.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went -2.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went -1.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 69), stock went -13.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went -3.51% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -2.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went +9.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +10.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went +9.02% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 49) — stock went +18.69% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said UP (score 67), stock went +11.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said UP (score 67), stock went +11.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said UP (score 65), stock went -0.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: we said UP (score 67), stock went -4.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: we said DOWN (score 16), stock went +0.99% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-07: we said DOWN (score 24), stock went +1.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-10: we said UP (score 70), stock went -0.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-11: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went -2.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-12: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +2.45% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 22Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what SOFI actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.