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SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) company logo
Technology · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

SEDG STOCK · SolarEdge Technologies Neutral

$33.09+7.19%
⚠ Big move today (+7.2%) — this score reflects this morning's data, not today's move yet.
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
47
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Technology has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementCONFLICTED

Major factor streams disagree — low conviction.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Accruals
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 47.0%mean ret +1.08%n=1538Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookMiddle of universe — weak directional signal this week🔒 Sign in for number

Why SEDG scores 47

  • +Clean accruals — earnings backed by cash (Sloan)
  • -Defensive / negative MD&A language flagged
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on SEDG? — 101 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 33 OF 101 DAYS — RIGHT 18 · WRONG 15
-35%-30%-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

+20%+25%+30%+35%+40%+45%+50%+55%+60%2026-05-07: no call (score 52) — stock went +23.71% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 54) — stock went +59.96% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 51) — stock went +29.65% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 51) — stock went +30.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 44) — stock went +33.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 44) — stock went +47.30% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: we said UP (score 74), stock went +23.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: we said UP (score 87), stock went +14.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: no call (score 55) — stock went +28.10% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +34.29% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 43) — stock went +30.18% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 55) — stock went +21.19% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 56) — stock went +22.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 57) — stock went +26.73% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.12% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 43) — stock went -13.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 58) — stock went -16.24% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 56) — stock went -23.75% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 56) — stock went -30.53% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 57) — stock went -21.05% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: we said UP (score 60), stock went -16.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.72% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -10.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: no call (score 57) — stock went -5.40% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 44) — stock went +6.44% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: no call (score 49) — stock went -5.35% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: we said UP (score 78), stock went -13.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: no call (score 58) — stock went -12.97% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 48) — stock went -5.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 42) — stock went -10.85% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 77), stock went -4.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said UP (score 78), stock went +1.55% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 75), stock went +6.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: no call (score 47) — stock went +5.31% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 52) — stock went +9.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: we said UP (score 87), stock went +9.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: no call (score 57) — stock went -4.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 45) — stock went -10.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 73), stock went -2.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: no call (score 58) — stock went +5.35% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 42) — stock went -2.44% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 52) — stock went +6.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 76), stock went -0.13% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: no call (score 42) — stock went -2.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said UP (score 74), stock went -11.91% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said UP (score 88), stock went -3.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: no call (score 56) — stock went -13.76% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 48) — stock went -17.30% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 47) — stock went -18.61% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 47) — stock went -19.41% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 46) — stock went -17.57% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 46) — stock went -22.34% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 46) — stock went -12.78% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 46) — stock went -8.73% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 46) — stock went +5.92% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 60), stock went +13.16% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 60), stock went -15.40% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 48) — stock went -16.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 45) — stock went -23.95% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 45) — stock went -21.82% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: we said UP (score 78), stock went -26.17% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: we said UP (score 78), stock went -34.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.77% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.05% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.42% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.13% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.50% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 59) — stock went -4.20% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 50) — stock went -7.19% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.96% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 47) — stock went +10.93% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: we said UP (score 90), stock went +2.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-21: no call (score 46) — stock went +1.65% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 53) — stock went +4.44% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 49) — stock went +7.98% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 52) — stock went +13.72% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 52) — stock went +2.18% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: we said UP (score 74), stock went +2.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-31: we said UP (score 89), stock went +15.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-01: we said UP (score 72), stock went +13.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-02: we said UP (score 80), stock went +8.37% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-03: we said UP (score 94), stock went +8.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-04: we said UP (score 78), stock went +2.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-07: we said UP (score 71), stock went +3.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: we said UP (score 80), stock went +3.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-09: we said UP (score 78), stock went -4.80% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-10: we said UP (score 79), stock went +2.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-11: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.63% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: we said UP (score 80), stock went +2.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-15: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.60% over the next 7 days2026-09-16: no call (score 50) — stock went -5.42% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: we said UP (score 77), stock went -7.99% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-18: no call (score 44) — stock went -9.22% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: we said UP (score 77), stock went -9.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: we said UP (score 77), stock went -11.49% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-23: no call (score 47) — stock went -11.67% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: we said UP (score 78), stock went -7.44% over the next 7 days — WRONGMay 7Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what SEDG actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.