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← RPRX FULL ANALYSIS

Royalty Pharma (RPRX) Forecast

Healthcare$60.58-1.86%

Framler has scored Royalty Pharma daily since May 5 — 78 published scores, of which 72 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

44mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 44(90%-target range: 5–94 · agreement 21%)

Our daily score for RPRX — last 78 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-05-05 score 602026-05-06 score 602026-05-07 score 612026-05-08 score 602026-05-11 score 622026-05-12 score 622026-05-13 score 632026-05-14 score 632026-05-15 score 612026-05-18 score 622026-05-19 score 622026-05-20 score 562026-05-21 score 592026-05-22 score 592026-05-25 score 592026-05-26 score 612026-05-27 score 612026-05-28 score 542026-05-29 score 622026-06-01 score 602026-06-02 score 592026-06-03 score 622026-06-04 score 522026-06-05 score 592026-06-08 score 612026-06-09 score 602026-06-10 score 642026-06-11 score 602026-06-12 score 532026-06-15 score 622026-06-16 score 532026-06-17 score 542026-06-18 score 532026-06-19 score 532026-06-22 score 662026-06-23 score 662026-06-24 score 632026-06-25 score 622026-06-26 score 562026-06-29 score 612026-06-30 score 612026-07-01 score 632026-07-02 score 512026-07-03 score 542026-07-06 score 612026-07-07 score 622026-07-08 score 522026-07-09 score 622026-07-10 score 642026-07-13 score 652026-07-14 score 542026-07-15 score 522026-07-16 score 602026-07-17 score 622026-07-20 score 622026-07-21 score 512026-07-22 score 612026-07-23 score 622026-07-24 score 592026-07-27 score 592026-07-28 score 562026-07-29 score 572026-07-30 score 542026-07-31 score 532026-08-03 score 532026-08-04 score 542026-08-05 score 652026-08-06 score 572026-08-07 score 522026-08-10 score 552026-08-11 score 472026-08-12 score 462026-08-13 score 482026-08-14 score 482026-08-17 score 402026-08-18 score 472026-08-19 score 492026-08-20 score 44May 5Aug 20

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for RPRX each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 39 of these 78 days sat in the green zone — the model has been leaning positive on this stock. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on RPRX? — 72 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 39 OF 72 DAYS — RIGHT 30 · WRONG 9
-5%0%+5%2026-05-05: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-06: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-07: we said UP (score 61), stock went +5.28% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-08: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.28% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.47% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: we said UP (score 63), stock went +1.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 63), stock went +0.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
Current RegimeRISK ON

Markets are in an expansionary regime. Momentum and growth factors tend to perform well.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
Sector SpilloverSTRONG
Sector MomentumSTRONG
Options FlowSTRONG
MomentumSTRONG
AccrualsSTRONG
BEARISH FACTORS
NLP TonePOOR
Earnings DriftPOOR

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for RPRX a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full RPRX analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.98% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.68% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 59) — stock went +4.13% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.25% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.90% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: no call (score 54) — stock went +1.95% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: we said UP (score 62), stock went +2.55% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.82% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.94% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-10: we said UP (score 64), stock went -3.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-11: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: no call (score 53) — stock went +1.99% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.13% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 53) — stock went +1.84% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 53) — stock went +6.17% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 66), stock went +7.80% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said UP (score 66), stock went +4.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 63), stock went +0.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: we said UP (score 62), stock went +6.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.08% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said UP (score 63), stock went +4.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: no call (score 51) — stock went +3.91% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 54) — stock went -2.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.20% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 52) — stock went -4.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 64), stock went +0.38% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 65), stock went +1.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.49% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 52) — stock went +5.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.81% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.51% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: no call (score 51) — stock went +4.67% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.51% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: no call (score 59) — stock went -1.00% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 59) — stock went -2.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.13% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.67% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 54) — stock went -3.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 53) — stock went -0.79% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: no call (score 54) — stock went +1.08% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: we said UP (score 65), stock went +3.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.40% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 52) — stock went +2.34% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.72% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 47) — stock went +2.97% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 46) — stock went +6.82% over the next 7 daysMay 5Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what RPRX actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.