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Reddit Inc. (RDDT) company logo
Communication Services · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

RDDT STOCK · Reddit Inc. BullishMulti-factor aligned

$147.86-1.12%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
88
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [22–95]Top driver: Momentum
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 53.2%mean ret +1.65%n=5539Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookTop decile — strong factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why RDDT scores 88

  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Industry-link drag from peer weakness

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on RDDT? — 112 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 95 OF 112 DAYS — RIGHT 41 · WRONG 54
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%2026-04-22: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.78% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 95), stock went -10.39% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said UP (score 71), stock went +8.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-27: we said UP (score 76), stock went +9.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 75), stock went +7.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said UP (score 76), stock went +12.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-30: we said UP (score 62), stock went +10.96% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: we said UP (score 75), stock went +5.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said UP (score 65), stock went -4.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-05: we said UP (score 81), stock went -11.23% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-06: we said UP (score 81), stock went -10.20% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-07: we said UP (score 65), stock went -6.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-08: no call (score 55) — stock went -3.53% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: we said UP (score 81), stock went +0.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 81), stock went -2.90% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-13: we said UP (score 67), stock went -4.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 67), stock went -2.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: we said UP (score 79), stock went -9.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-18: we said UP (score 80), stock went -8.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-19: we said UP (score 68), stock went -9.09% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-20: we said UP (score 68), stock went -0.45% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-21: we said UP (score 68), stock went +14.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +17.30% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: we said UP (score 60), stock went +25.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: no call (score 56) — stock went +19.38% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: we said UP (score 69), stock went +17.18% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 68), stock went +19.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: we said UP (score 65), stock went +3.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said UP (score 66), stock went -2.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 79), stock went +0.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: we said UP (score 67), stock went +1.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: we said UP (score 71), stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-05: we said UP (score 67), stock went -11.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said UP (score 67), stock went +4.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: we said UP (score 69), stock went +2.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: we said UP (score 62), stock went -6.83% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-11: we said UP (score 68), stock went +1.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: we said UP (score 67), stock went -1.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 67), stock went +5.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said UP (score 72), stock went -8.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 64), stock went -8.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: no call (score 58) — stock went -4.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 54) — stock went -4.58% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 65), stock went -0.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said UP (score 64), stock went +1.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 70), stock went +19.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: no call (score 59) — stock went +21.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 56) — stock went +27.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: we said UP (score 75), stock went +20.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 70), stock went +14.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said UP (score 68), stock went +12.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said UP (score 67), stock went +1.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said UP (score 70), stock went +0.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said UP (score 67), stock went +3.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said UP (score 80), stock went +1.20% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: we said UP (score 77), stock went -1.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said UP (score 77), stock went -5.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: we said UP (score 77), stock went -9.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: we said UP (score 68), stock went -7.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said UP (score 68), stock went -7.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: we said UP (score 82), stock went -16.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said UP (score 70), stock went -14.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said UP (score 71), stock went -8.92% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said UP (score 71), stock went -1.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-21: we said UP (score 84), stock went -1.76% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-22: we said UP (score 80), stock went -4.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: we said UP (score 86), stock went +4.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 75), stock went -16.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-27: we said UP (score 75), stock went -8.31% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: we said UP (score 66), stock went -10.75% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said UP (score 80), stock went -12.99% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 59) — stock went -15.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said UP (score 76), stock went -9.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said UP (score 76), stock went +12.83% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: no call (score 59) — stock went +11.03% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: we said UP (score 64), stock went -4.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: we said UP (score 77), stock went +1.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: no call (score 59) — stock went +18.04% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: we said UP (score 70), stock went +1.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-11: we said UP (score 70), stock went -0.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-12: we said UP (score 69), stock went -2.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-13: no call (score 59) — stock went -2.05% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: we said UP (score 72), stock went -3.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-17: we said UP (score 84), stock went -14.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-18: we said UP (score 69), stock went -1.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-19: we said UP (score 63), stock went -1.83% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-20: we said UP (score 66), stock went +1.48% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-21: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.79% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: we said UP (score 87), stock went -3.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-25: we said UP (score 87), stock went -5.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-26: we said UP (score 82), stock went -2.68% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-27: we said UP (score 82), stock went +0.41% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-28: we said UP (score 83), stock went +0.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-31: we said UP (score 73), stock went -2.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-02: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.24% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: we said UP (score 78), stock went -1.75% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-04: we said UP (score 83), stock went +1.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-07: we said UP (score 77), stock went +5.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: we said UP (score 81), stock went +3.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-09: we said UP (score 86), stock went +5.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-10: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.36% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: we said UP (score 78), stock went -2.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-14: we said UP (score 86), stock went +0.61% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-15: we said UP (score 73), stock went -6.40% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-16: we said UP (score 88), stock went -4.79% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-17: no call (score 41) — stock went -3.10% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: we said UP (score 79), stock went -1.96% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-21: we said UP (score 70), stock went -5.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: no call (score 56) — stock went -8.42% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: we said UP (score 73), stock went -8.50% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-24: we said UP (score 82), stock went -1.61% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 22Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what RDDT actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.