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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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Roblox Corporation (RBLX) company logo
Technology · NYSE
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

RBLX STOCK · Roblox Corporation BullishMulti-factor aligned

$37.79+4.86%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
69
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [10–95]Top driver: Accruals
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 57.6%mean ret +1.87%n=2484Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookTop decile — strong factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why RBLX scores 69

  • +Clean accruals — earnings backed by cash (Sloan)
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Quality metrics weak — margins or leverage flagged

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on RBLX? — 75 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 31 OF 75 DAYS — RIGHT 19 · WRONG 12
-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-16: no call (score 59) — stock went -7.26% over the next 7 days2026-04-17: no call (score 55) — stock went -7.20% over the next 7 days2026-04-21: no call (score 52) — stock went -9.25% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 44) — stock went -8.13% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: no call (score 48) — stock went -7.34% over the next 7 days2026-04-24: no call (score 46) — stock went -18.61% over the next 7 days2026-04-27: no call (score 51) — stock went -15.19% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 50) — stock went -23.44% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 49) — stock went -22.01% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 50) — stock went -20.43% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: no call (score 47) — stock went -24.16% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: no call (score 53) — stock went -8.46% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: no call (score 54) — stock went -5.68% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 45) — stock went -4.72% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 53) — stock went -0.09% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: we said UP (score 72), stock went -4.31% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-11: no call (score 52) — stock went +11.43% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: we said UP (score 63), stock went +7.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: no call (score 49) — stock went +10.10% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: we said UP (score 65), stock went +9.96% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: no call (score 53) — stock went +10.16% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 51) — stock went +7.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: we said UP (score 64), stock went -2.09% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-20: no call (score 45) — stock went +2.65% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-26: we said UP (score 63), stock went -6.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: no call (score 51) — stock went -5.04% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 53) — stock went -5.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 59) — stock went -10.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 63), stock went -10.29% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 65), stock went -8.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: no call (score 57) — stock went -7.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 48) — stock went -0.43% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 57) — stock went -0.09% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 45) — stock went +9.18% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: we said UP (score 61), stock went +16.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: we said UP (score 61), stock went +11.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: no call (score 42) — stock went +24.17% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said UP (score 64), stock went +8.69% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-15: we said UP (score 60), stock went +9.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said UP (score 64), stock went +3.18% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: we said UP (score 63), stock went -2.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: no call (score 46) — stock went -3.39% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: we said UP (score 63), stock went -7.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: we said UP (score 63), stock went +5.45% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said UP (score 71), stock went +15.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: no call (score 54) — stock went +23.01% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: we said UP (score 66), stock went +15.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 73), stock went +22.94% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +19.91% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-30: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.62% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: we said UP (score 60), stock went -0.11% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: no call (score 53) — stock went -0.69% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -4.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: no call (score 50) — stock went -2.13% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.01% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -8.42% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.79% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 51) — stock went -4.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 52) — stock went -8.87% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -16.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: no call (score 48) — stock went -11.96% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 49) — stock went -6.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -7.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: no call (score 50) — stock went -4.51% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.95% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 47) — stock went -25.13% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 54) — stock went -22.88% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 61), stock went -23.59% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -26.89% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-30: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -28.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHTApr 16Jul 30
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what RBLX actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.