Framler has scored Palantir Technologies daily since Apr 16 — 91 published scores, of which 84 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.
The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for PLTR each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 67 of these 91 days sat in the green zone — the model has been leaning positive on this stock. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.
Were we right on PLTR? — 84 graded days
WE MADE A CALL ON 67 OF 84 DAYS — RIGHT 33 · WRONG 34
Current RegimeTRANSITION
Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.
What the factors say
BULLISH FACTORS
MomentumSTRONG
QualitySTRONG
Sector SpilloverSTRONG
Factor InteractionSTRONG
AccrualsGOOD
Sector MomentumGOOD
Earnings DriftGOOD
BEARISH FACTORS
Why there is no price target here
Most forecast sites will print an exact price for PLTR a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day
Each bar is what PLTR actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.