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Parker-Hannifin (PH) company logo
Industrials · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

PH STOCK · Parker-Hannifin BullishMulti-factor aligned

$972.55+0.69%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
63
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Industrials has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Options Flow
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 50.1%mean ret +0.77%n=4117Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why PH scores 63

  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • +Adjacent industry leaders rallying (Cohen-Frazzini)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on PH? — 113 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 44 OF 113 DAYS — RIGHT 12 · WRONG 32
-10%-5%0%+5%+10%2026-04-21: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.43% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 47) — stock went -2.59% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: no call (score 47) — stock went -4.72% over the next 7 days2026-04-24: no call (score 55) — stock went -9.41% over the next 7 days2026-04-27: no call (score 46) — stock went -10.95% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 48) — stock went -10.43% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 50) — stock went -6.19% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 44) — stock went -6.40% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-01: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: no call (score 49) — stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: no call (score 50) — stock went +0.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.11% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.46% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.72% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.00% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.53% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.12% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.48% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 50) — stock went -0.77% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.32% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 54) — stock went -5.04% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -3.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.82% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.46% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 52) — stock went +4.56% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 51) — stock went +9.99% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 50) — stock went +4.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +6.07% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +3.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +4.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +6.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-10: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went +4.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-11: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +8.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: no call (score 41) — stock went +6.62% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: no call (score 41) — stock went +6.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: no call (score 52) — stock went +3.13% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.41% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +4.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +1.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +1.10% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went +1.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-24: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +1.71% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-25: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +0.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -1.87% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +0.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-30: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.65% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.99% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.17% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.21% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.05% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.38% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +2.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.43% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -1.09% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +0.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +0.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +3.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +3.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +3.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-21: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +4.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-22: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -0.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -0.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +1.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.54% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 51) — stock went +12.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +11.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +8.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-04: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +6.40% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: no call (score 59) — stock went +7.74% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 56) — stock went +6.22% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 54) — stock went +5.91% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.87% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.76% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 54) — stock went -3.59% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went -6.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-14: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -5.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-17: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.94% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-18: no call (score 55) — stock went -3.55% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-20: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.18% over the next 7 days2026-08-21: no call (score 52) — stock went -0.51% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 55) — stock went -2.23% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: we said UP (score 71), stock went -6.13% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-26: no call (score 52) — stock went -6.59% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 52) — stock went -7.21% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: no call (score 55) — stock went -4.81% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.93% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.41% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: we said UP (score 73), stock went -0.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-03: no call (score 51) — stock went -1.58% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.48% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.51% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.91% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.88% over the next 7 days2026-09-10: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.55% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.98% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.84% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: we said UP (score 62), stock went +4.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-16: no call (score 56) — stock went +5.00% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 53) — stock went +6.12% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 54) — stock went +5.73% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +2.76% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +1.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-23: we said UP (score 65), stock went -0.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-24: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.55% over the next 7 days — RIGHTApr 21Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what PH actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.