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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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Pfizer Inc. (PFE) company logo
Healthcare · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

PFE STOCK · Pfizer Inc. NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$27.72+0.25%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
29
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Healthcare has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementSTRONG ALIGNMENT

Most factor streams point the same way.

90% interval: [5–88]Top driver: NLP Tone
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 61.4%mean ret +2.34%n=772Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookBottom quartile — weak factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why PFE scores 29

  • +Constructive 10-K MD&A tone (Loughran-McDonald)
  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • -Industry-link drag from peer weakness

Full report — sign in to unlock

🧬 Phase 3 / FDA catalyst

PFE has an active Phase 3 clinical trial — NCT07543380. Framler models the failure probability for PFE from ClinicalTrials.gov data — the figure is shown after you sign in.

🧬 Biotech intelligence
Bayesian Phase-3 trial failure probability vs the disease base rate, an estimated FDA decision window, patent-cliff timing, and comparable historical trials — the biotech layer for PFE.
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🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on PFE? — 106 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 36 OF 106 DAYS — RIGHT 21 · WRONG 15
-5%0%+5%2026-04-09: no call (score 57) — stock went -0.91% over the next 7 days2026-04-10: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.33% over the next 7 days2026-04-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +2.23% over the next 7 days2026-04-14: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.45% over the next 7 days2026-04-15: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.98% over the next 7 days2026-04-16: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.62% over the next 7 days2026-04-17: no call (score 50) — stock went -0.81% over the next 7 days2026-04-20: no call (score 52) — stock went -2.79% over the next 7 days2026-04-21: no call (score 49) — stock went -3.78% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.84% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.37% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-24: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.27% over the next 7 days2026-04-27: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.59% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: no call (score 50) — stock went -1.27% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 50) — stock went +0.19% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.84% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: we said UP (score 65), stock went -3.82% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-04: no call (score 50) — stock went -1.97% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.19% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.85% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.94% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 58) — stock went -4.34% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.67% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 43) — stock went -0.58% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.06% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 45) — stock went -0.04% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.05% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.05% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.14% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.89% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.04% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 44) — stock went -1.97% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.98% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.38% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: no call (score 51) — stock went +0.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +0.20% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +3.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +2.02% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +1.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-10: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +0.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-11: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -4.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-15: we said DOWN (score 24), stock went -4.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went -4.92% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -7.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -8.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went -3.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went -3.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -3.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.40% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.16% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.21% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.35% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.23% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -0.12% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +1.55% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -0.62% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +0.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went +3.35% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.85% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 62), stock went +4.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: no call (score 58) — stock went +3.30% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 52) — stock went +2.40% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.88% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went +2.35% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +0.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -2.39% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -1.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +2.02% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.84% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 49) — stock went +0.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.00% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 52) — stock went +2.00% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 58) — stock went +3.00% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 46) — stock went +4.17% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 55) — stock went +7.43% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 52) — stock went +8.16% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: no call (score 57) — stock went +6.35% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: we said UP (score 60), stock went +3.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.25% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.41% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-11: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.74% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 45) — stock went +6.09% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 46) — stock went +5.63% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.74% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-17: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +6.33% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 58) — stock went +3.85% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.78% over the next 7 days2026-08-21: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.61% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.39% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.80% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-28: no call (score 54) — stock went +1.53% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-01: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.61% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.70% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 58) — stock went -4.72% over the next 7 daysApr 9Sep 3
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what PFE actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.