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← ORG.AX FULL ANALYSIS

Origin Energy (ORG.AX) Forecast

EnergyA$12.04-0.58%

Framler has scored Origin Energy daily since May 7 — 76 published scores, of which 71 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

54mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 54(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 51%)

Our daily score for ORG.AX — last 76 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-05-07 score 442026-05-08 score 432026-05-11 score 562026-05-12 score 562026-05-13 score 542026-05-14 score 542026-05-15 score 562026-05-18 score 452026-05-19 score 472026-05-20 score 562026-05-21 score 462026-05-22 score 442026-05-25 score 452026-05-26 score 552026-05-27 score 412026-05-28 score 412026-05-29 score 562026-06-01 score 552026-06-02 score 552026-06-03 score 442026-06-04 score 442026-06-05 score 562026-06-08 score 552026-06-09 score 472026-06-10 score 562026-06-11 score 522026-06-12 score 572026-06-15 score 512026-06-16 score 392026-06-17 score 432026-06-18 score 562026-06-19 score 572026-06-22 score 542026-06-23 score 552026-06-24 score 582026-06-25 score 582026-06-26 score 532026-06-29 score 552026-06-30 score 542026-07-01 score 542026-07-02 score 542026-07-03 score 402026-07-06 score 372026-07-07 score 252026-07-08 score 442026-07-09 score 502026-07-10 score 522026-07-13 score 452026-07-14 score 292026-07-15 score 442026-07-16 score 452026-07-17 score 432026-07-20 score 432026-07-21 score 452026-07-22 score 432026-07-23 score 492026-07-24 score 422026-07-27 score 422026-07-28 score 442026-07-29 score 562026-07-30 score 502026-07-31 score 432026-08-03 score 432026-08-04 score 442026-08-05 score 402026-08-06 score 452026-08-07 score 492026-08-10 score 422026-08-11 score 472026-08-12 score 422026-08-13 score 452026-08-14 score 422026-08-17 score 462026-08-18 score 532026-08-19 score 472026-08-20 score 54May 7Aug 20

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for ORG.AX each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 70 of these 76 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on ORG.AX? — 71 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 6 OF 71 DAYS — RIGHT 2 · WRONG 4

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On ORG.AX they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-5%0%+5%+10%2026-05-07: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.59% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.37% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.15% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.30% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 54) — stock went -3.28% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 54) — stock went -4.23% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 56) — stock went -6.44% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeRISK ON

Markets are in an expansionary regime. Momentum and growth factors tend to perform well.

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for ORG.AX a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full ORG.AX analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-18: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.22% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 47) — stock went -6.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went -5.27% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.85% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.07% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 45) — stock went -0.92% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.47% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 41) — stock went +1.03% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 41) — stock went -1.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.00% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.46% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 44) — stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.21% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.47% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.46% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.55% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.45% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.56% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: no call (score 51) — stock went -2.71% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went +0.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.28% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.00% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.96% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 53) — stock went -4.60% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 55) — stock went -6.75% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 54) — stock went -6.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 54) — stock went -5.92% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 54) — stock went -5.05% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -1.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went +2.45% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 50) — stock went +0.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.10% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.29% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +3.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.76% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.16% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.85% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 43) — stock went +1.14% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.19% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 43) — stock went +2.21% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 49) — stock went +1.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 42) — stock went +1.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 42) — stock went +4.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.59% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.56% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.37% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.64% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +4.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: no call (score 45) — stock went +9.51% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 49) — stock went +11.55% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 42) — stock went +11.02% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 47) — stock went +10.69% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 42) — stock went +7.55% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.52% over the next 7 daysMay 7Aug 13
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what ORG.AX actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.