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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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Okta Inc. (OKTA) company logo
Technology · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

OKTA STOCK · Okta Inc. NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$211.49-0.54%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
61
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Technology has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Sector Spillover
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 51.3%mean ret +1.10%n=21829Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why OKTA scores 61

  • +Adjacent industry leaders rallying (Cohen-Frazzini)
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on OKTA? — 113 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 83 OF 113 DAYS — RIGHT 65 · WRONG 18
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%+30%+35%
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

+40%+45%+50%2026-04-21: no call (score 49) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.91% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 76), stock went -6.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said UP (score 75), stock went -0.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-27: we said UP (score 69), stock went +1.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 69), stock went +2.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said UP (score 68), stock went +1.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-30: we said UP (score 68), stock went +6.20% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: we said UP (score 67), stock went +13.92% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said UP (score 64), stock went +7.80% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.68% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: we said UP (score 74), stock went +4.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-08: we said UP (score 74), stock went +2.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: we said UP (score 68), stock went +5.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 68), stock went +4.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: no call (score 51) — stock went +13.66% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 51) — stock went +14.37% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 50) — stock went +13.81% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: we said UP (score 72), stock went +13.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 63), stock went +7.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-20: we said UP (score 61), stock went +4.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: we said UP (score 67), stock went +6.38% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +37.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 60), stock went +51.55% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: we said UP (score 61), stock went +46.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 61), stock went +32.88% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 61), stock went +37.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: we said UP (score 67), stock went +25.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -5.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: no call (score 41) — stock went -14.19% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -15.08% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -5.74% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-05: no call (score 43) — stock went -5.82% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 71), stock went -0.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: no call (score 43) — stock went -0.50% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 50) — stock went -5.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 41) — stock went +2.51% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said UP (score 64), stock went -1.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 74), stock went +0.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +5.51% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 44) — stock went +5.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 60), stock went +11.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: no call (score 59) — stock went +17.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: we said UP (score 71), stock went +18.87% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: we said UP (score 69), stock went +19.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 74), stock went +24.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said UP (score 70), stock went +19.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 62), stock went +13.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went +7.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: no call (score 58) — stock went +5.97% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.97% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: we said UP (score 61), stock went -1.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 72), stock went +4.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: we said UP (score 68), stock went +3.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-09: we said UP (score 71), stock went +0.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 72), stock went +0.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 60), stock went +7.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.56% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 41) — stock went -11.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -9.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: no call (score 49) — stock went -6.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 49) — stock went -7.98% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: we said UP (score 68), stock went -8.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-22: we said UP (score 70), stock went -3.39% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: we said UP (score 68), stock went +2.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 72), stock went +4.28% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said UP (score 72), stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said UP (score 62), stock went +7.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: no call (score 57) — stock went +7.95% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 59) — stock went +4.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said UP (score 70), stock went +5.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said UP (score 70), stock went +6.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said UP (score 63), stock went +6.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.35% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: we said UP (score 69), stock went +5.38% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 73), stock went +2.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.42% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 56) — stock went -4.54% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 59) — stock went -6.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 50) — stock went -8.92% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: we said UP (score 67), stock went -12.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-17: we said UP (score 64), stock went -11.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-18: we said UP (score 67), stock went -8.82% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-19: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -6.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-20: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +22.45% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-21: we said UP (score 64), stock went +23.90% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-24: no call (score 43) — stock went +28.05% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: we said UP (score 70), stock went +27.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-26: we said UP (score 73), stock went +24.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-27: we said UP (score 73), stock went +26.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-28: we said UP (score 66), stock went -1.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-31: we said UP (score 69), stock went +0.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-01: we said UP (score 75), stock went -3.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-02: we said UP (score 74), stock went +3.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-03: we said UP (score 73), stock went +4.88% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-04: we said UP (score 75), stock went -2.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-07: we said UP (score 71), stock went +9.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: we said UP (score 77), stock went +11.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-09: we said UP (score 76), stock went +12.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-10: we said UP (score 76), stock went +10.00% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-11: we said UP (score 74), stock went +6.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-14: we said UP (score 68), stock went +14.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-15: we said UP (score 67), stock went +10.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-16: no call (score 47) — stock went +7.83% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 45) — stock went +9.84% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.72% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went +10.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: we said UP (score 65), stock went +7.08% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-23: we said UP (score 72), stock went +6.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-24: we said UP (score 76), stock went +3.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHTApr 21Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what OKTA actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.