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← NVDA FULL ANALYSIS

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Forecast

Technology$217.55-2.86%

Framler has scored NVIDIA Corporation daily since Apr 9 — 88 published scores, of which 81 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

36bearish
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 36(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 56%)

Our daily score for NVDA — last 88 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-04-09 score 602026-04-10 score 592026-04-13 score 592026-04-14 score 592026-04-15 score 522026-04-16 score 612026-04-17 score 502026-04-20 score 572026-04-21 score 532026-04-22 score 532026-04-23 score 832026-04-24 score 382026-04-27 score 732026-04-28 score 722026-04-29 score 732026-04-30 score 382026-05-01 score 342026-05-04 score 572026-05-05 score 412026-05-06 score 432026-05-07 score 752026-05-08 score 762026-05-11 score 722026-05-12 score 862026-05-13 score 852026-05-14 score 722026-05-15 score 722026-05-18 score 402026-05-19 score 442026-05-20 score 512026-05-21 score 332026-05-22 score 392026-05-25 score 272026-05-26 score 402026-05-27 score 422026-05-28 score 332026-05-29 score 312026-06-01 score 402026-06-02 score 392026-06-03 score 352026-06-04 score 422026-06-05 score 392026-06-08 score 392026-06-09 score 312026-06-10 score 372026-06-11 score 382026-06-12 score 352026-06-15 score 362026-06-16 score 332026-06-17 score 332026-06-18 score 292026-06-19 score 322026-06-22 score 302026-06-23 score 312026-06-24 score 402026-06-25 score 442026-06-26 score 312026-06-29 score 502026-06-30 score 352026-07-01 score 332026-07-02 score 402026-07-03 score 492026-07-06 score 442026-07-07 score 352026-07-08 score 402026-07-09 score 372026-07-10 score 372026-07-13 score 412026-07-14 score 432026-07-15 score 422026-07-16 score 402026-07-17 score 372026-07-20 score 342026-07-21 score 472026-07-22 score 392026-07-23 score 392026-07-24 score 412026-07-27 score 372026-07-28 score 372026-07-29 score 402026-07-30 score 442026-07-31 score 412026-08-03 score 392026-08-04 score 832026-08-05 score 902026-08-06 score 892026-08-07 score 392026-08-10 score 35Apr 9Aug 10

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for NVDA each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 46 of these 88 days sat in the red zone — the model has been leaning against this stock. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on NVDA? — 81 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 56 OF 81 DAYS — RIGHT 31 · WRONG 25
-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-09: we said UP (score 60), stock went +8.94% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-10: no call (score 59) — stock went +10.76% over the next 7 days2026-04-13: no call (score 59) — stock went +7.12% over the next 7 days2026-04-14: no call (score 59) — stock went +5.96% over the next 7 days2026-04-15: no call (score 52) — stock went +6.97% over the next 7 days2026-04-16: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-17: no call (score 50) — stock went +5.00% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeRISK ON

Markets are in an expansionary regime. Momentum and growth factors tend to perform well.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
Sector SpilloverSTRONG
Sector MomentumSTRONG
Earnings DriftSTRONG
QualitySTRONG
BEARISH FACTORS
Insider FlowPOOR
NLP TonePOOR
AccrualsPOOR

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for NVDA a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full NVDA analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-04-21: no call (score 53) — stock went +5.50% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 53) — stock went +4.69% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 83), stock went -1.45% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -0.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-27: we said UP (score 73), stock went -4.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: we said UP (score 72), stock went -9.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-29: we said UP (score 73), stock went -2.50% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-30: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went +1.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-01: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +7.83% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-04: no call (score 57) — stock went +10.58% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: no call (score 41) — stock went +12.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 43) — stock went +14.93% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: we said UP (score 75), stock went +13.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-08: we said UP (score 76), stock went +6.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: we said UP (score 72), stock went +0.55% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 86), stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: we said UP (score 85), stock went -1.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 72), stock went -2.80% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: we said UP (score 72), stock went -8.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-18: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -4.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.63% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -4.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -3.81% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went +4.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-26: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +3.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: no call (score 42) — stock went -0.05% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +2.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-29: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -4.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -1.18% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -7.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -10.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: no call (score 42) — stock went -4.60% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -6.16% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-08: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went +3.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -0.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -1.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went +5.12% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +1.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +1.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -5.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -4.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went -4.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -8.62% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -7.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -4.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -1.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.10% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -0.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.57% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +1.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-01: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +2.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-02: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +2.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: no call (score 49) — stock went +8.28% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.47% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +8.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +7.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +1.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +0.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: no call (score 41) — stock went -3.64% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 43) — stock went +1.85% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 42) — stock went +4.19% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -1.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -3.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: no call (score 47) — stock went -3.08% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -6.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -8.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: no call (score 41) — stock went -5.33% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -0.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +2.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +11.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 44) — stock went +15.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 41) — stock went +14.83% over the next 7 daysApr 9Jul 31
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what NVDA actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.

Momentum
WEAK