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ServiceNow Inc. (NOW) company logo
Technology · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

NOW STOCK · ServiceNow Inc. BullishMulti-factor aligned

$129.75+2.00%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
60
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [13–95]Top driver: Accruals
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why NOW scores 60

  • +Clean accruals — earnings backed by cash (Sloan)
  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • -Quality metrics weak — margins or leverage flagged

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on NOW? — 84 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 44 OF 84 DAYS — RIGHT 27 · WRONG 17
-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%+30%2026-04-16: we said UP (score 61), stock went -9.50% over the next 7 days — WRONG
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-17: no call (score 59) — stock went -6.50% over the next 7 days2026-04-21: no call (score 56) — stock went -9.26% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 52) — stock went -11.23% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 73), stock went -14.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said UP (score 69), stock went +7.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-27: we said UP (score 67), stock went +2.00% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 66), stock went +1.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said UP (score 66), stock went -1.59% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-30: we said UP (score 67), stock went +3.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: we said UP (score 66), stock went +3.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said UP (score 67), stock went +0.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: we said UP (score 60), stock went -3.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-06: we said UP (score 61), stock went -5.39% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-07: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.63% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: no call (score 59) — stock went +12.90% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 59) — stock went +11.30% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 59) — stock went +18.84% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 53) — stock went +14.52% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 59) — stock went +12.85% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +5.10% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 58) — stock went -3.38% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.28% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 57) — stock went +5.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 59) — stock went +24.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 59) — stock went +33.03% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 59) — stock went +24.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: we said UP (score 62), stock went +17.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 60), stock went +16.88% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: no call (score 58) — stock went +3.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 65), stock went -8.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 64), stock went -21.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -16.91% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: we said UP (score 65), stock went -12.57% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: no call (score 58) — stock went -14.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 63), stock went -7.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: no call (score 56) — stock went -11.26% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 59) — stock went -10.74% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 46) — stock went -10.39% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said UP (score 63), stock went -9.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 73), stock went -8.95% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 62), stock went -7.88% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 60), stock went -7.43% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: we said UP (score 63), stock went -6.24% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.47% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +5.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: no call (score 53) — stock went +6.74% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 58) — stock went +10.28% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: we said UP (score 64), stock went +13.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 67), stock went +20.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said UP (score 64), stock went +9.75% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 60), stock went +10.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: no call (score 58) — stock went +8.56% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 62), stock went +2.87% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 57) — stock went -3.10% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.50% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: we said UP (score 60), stock went -5.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: no call (score 54) — stock went -2.79% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 59) — stock went -8.27% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 55) — stock went -8.96% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 56) — stock went -12.21% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 55) — stock went -5.03% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 52) — stock went +2.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 58) — stock went +5.65% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +13.42% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: we said UP (score 66), stock went +15.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: no call (score 49) — stock went +20.97% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: we said UP (score 60), stock went +15.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said UP (score 64), stock went +11.92% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 62), stock went +5.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-30: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 53) — stock went +13.46% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 58) — stock went +14.57% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: we said UP (score 60), stock went +11.69% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 63), stock went +5.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 61), stock went +7.71% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 75), stock went +5.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 58) — stock went -5.75% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 58) — stock went -6.24% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: we said UP (score 60), stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 16Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what NOW actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.