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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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← MAR FULL ANALYSIS

Marriott International (MAR) Forecast

Consumer$356.60-0.93%

Framler has scored Marriott International daily since Apr 21 — 88 published scores, of which 82 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

35mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 35(90%-target range: 5–85 · agreement 59%)

Our daily score for MAR — last 88 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-04-21 score 502026-04-22 score 452026-04-23 score 752026-04-24 score 752026-04-27 score 652026-04-28 score 642026-04-29 score 422026-04-30 score 422026-05-01 score 652026-05-04 score 652026-05-05 score 722026-05-06 score 722026-05-07 score 722026-05-08 score 722026-05-11 score 702026-05-12 score 702026-05-13 score 622026-05-14 score 622026-05-15 score 622026-05-18 score 612026-05-19 score 612026-05-20 score 612026-05-21 score 622026-05-22 score 612026-05-25 score 652026-05-26 score 612026-05-27 score 742026-05-28 score 612026-05-29 score 612026-06-01 score 632026-06-02 score 492026-06-03 score 402026-06-04 score 702026-06-05 score 732026-06-08 score 622026-06-09 score 592026-06-10 score 612026-06-11 score 652026-06-12 score 472026-06-15 score 402026-06-16 score 322026-06-17 score 712026-06-18 score 722026-06-19 score 692026-06-22 score 632026-06-23 score 632026-06-24 score 452026-06-25 score 322026-06-26 score 692026-06-29 score 492026-06-30 score 672026-07-01 score 552026-07-02 score 632026-07-03 score 662026-07-06 score 652026-07-07 score 662026-07-08 score 652026-07-09 score 732026-07-10 score 472026-07-13 score 342026-07-14 score 352026-07-15 score 762026-07-16 score 662026-07-17 score 662026-07-20 score 662026-07-21 score 802026-07-22 score 802026-07-23 score 652026-07-24 score 782026-07-27 score 782026-07-28 score 702026-07-29 score 692026-07-30 score 652026-07-31 score 772026-08-03 score 772026-08-04 score 682026-08-05 score 572026-08-06 score 352026-08-07 score 302026-08-10 score 542026-08-11 score 512026-08-12 score 342026-08-13 score 432026-08-14 score 362026-08-17 score 422026-08-18 score 372026-08-19 score 352026-08-20 score 35Apr 21Aug 20

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for MAR each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 59 of these 88 days sat in the green zone — the model has been leaning positive on this stock. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on MAR? — 82 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 68 OF 82 DAYS — RIGHT 40 · WRONG 28
-5%0%+5%2026-04-21: no call (score 50) — stock went -5.38% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.73% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 75), stock went -1.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said UP (score 75), stock went -3.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-27: we said UP (score 65), stock went -5.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: we said UP (score 64), stock went -1.71% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-29: no call (score 42) — stock went +0.20% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 42) — stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.35% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-04: we said UP (score 65), stock went -0.46% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-05: we said UP (score 72), stock went -1.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG
Current RegimeRISK ON

Markets are in an expansionary regime. Momentum and growth factors tend to perform well.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
Sector MomentumSTRONG
Options FlowSTRONG
QualityGOOD
ValueGOOD
Factor InteractionGOOD
BEARISH FACTORS
Insider FlowPOOR

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for MAR a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full MAR analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-06: we said UP (score 72), stock went -1.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-07: we said UP (score 72), stock went -1.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-08: we said UP (score 72), stock went +0.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: we said UP (score 70), stock went +2.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 70), stock went +1.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: we said UP (score 62), stock went +5.39% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 62), stock went +5.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: we said UP (score 62), stock went +4.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: we said UP (score 61), stock went +5.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 61), stock went +4.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-20: we said UP (score 61), stock went +7.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: we said UP (score 62), stock went +4.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 65), stock went +2.12% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 74), stock went +0.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.15% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-29: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.75% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said UP (score 63), stock went +4.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: no call (score 49) — stock went +4.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +3.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said UP (score 70), stock went +5.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-05: we said UP (score 73), stock went +4.47% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-08: we said UP (score 62), stock went +2.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.96% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said UP (score 65), stock went +2.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: no call (score 47) — stock went -3.20% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -4.56% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -3.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: we said UP (score 72), stock went -3.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said UP (score 69), stock went -4.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: we said UP (score 63), stock went -5.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said UP (score 63), stock went -3.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-24: no call (score 45) — stock went -4.79% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -2.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 69), stock went +0.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: no call (score 49) — stock went +0.65% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: we said UP (score 67), stock went +1.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.15% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 63), stock went +1.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said UP (score 66), stock went +0.85% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 66), stock went -3.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said UP (score 65), stock went -3.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said UP (score 73), stock went -0.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: no call (score 47) — stock went -1.67% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -2.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: we said UP (score 76), stock went +1.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-16: we said UP (score 66), stock went +0.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: we said UP (score 66), stock went +0.89% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said UP (score 66), stock went +4.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said UP (score 80), stock went +4.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 80), stock went +3.62% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 65), stock went +1.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 78), stock went +2.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said UP (score 78), stock went -7.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: we said UP (score 70), stock went -7.81% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said UP (score 69), stock went -5.79% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: we said UP (score 65), stock went -5.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-31: we said UP (score 77), stock went -5.74% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said UP (score 77), stock went -6.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-04: we said UP (score 68), stock went +0.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.72% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -2.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -0.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.75% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 51) — stock went +2.55% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +2.99% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 21Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what MAR actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.