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Intuit Inc. (INTU) company logo
Technology · NASDAQ
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

INTU STOCK · Intuit Inc. BullishMulti-factor aligned

$325.25+1.04%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
77
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [13–95]Top driver: Sector Spillover
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 55.6%mean ret +1.82%n=3108Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookTop decile — strong factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why INTU scores 77

  • -Industry-link drag from peer weakness
  • +Clean accruals — earnings backed by cash (Sloan)
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on INTU? — 72 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 40 OF 72 DAYS — RIGHT 20 · WRONG 20
-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-22: no call (score 52) — stock went -2.41% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 74), stock went -4.94% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-24: we said UP (score 70), stock went +4.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-04-27: we said UP (score 70), stock went +2.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 72), stock went +2.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: we said UP (score 67), stock went -2.95% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-30: we said UP (score 71), stock went +2.96% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: we said UP (score 69), stock went +2.01% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said UP (score 67), stock went -1.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-05: no call (score 50) — stock went -2.66% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 50) — stock went -6.68% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.64% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.39% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.94% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.63% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 70), stock went +2.93% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 70), stock went -17.39% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: we said UP (score 64), stock went -15.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-18: we said UP (score 62), stock went -22.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-19: we said UP (score 62), stock went -24.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-20: we said UP (score 61), stock went -23.01% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-21: we said UP (score 63), stock went -18.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-22: we said UP (score 63), stock went +7.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 56) — stock went +10.57% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.69% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.87% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.19% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 62), stock went -7.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: no call (score 58) — stock went -16.95% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: we said UP (score 63), stock went -11.77% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -11.09% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-05: we said UP (score 65), stock went -8.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said UP (score 66), stock went -5.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: no call (score 46) — stock went -8.03% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 55) — stock went -8.41% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 47) — stock went -6.06% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 45) — stock went -6.91% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 66), stock went -6.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 64), stock went -8.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 61), stock went -6.67% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -5.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 63), stock went -0.22% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said UP (score 63), stock went +1.25% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 70), stock went +3.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: we said UP (score 73), stock went +5.00% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: we said UP (score 64), stock went +6.69% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: we said UP (score 72), stock went +1.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 64), stock went +5.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.36% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said UP (score 67), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +5.23% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: no call (score 46) — stock went +3.59% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.26% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 58) — stock went +8.34% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 51) — stock went +6.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said UP (score 60), stock went +6.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.06% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.72% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.65% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 59) — stock went +4.40% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 58) — stock went +6.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 55) — stock went +14.90% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 52) — stock went +10.91% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 52) — stock went +12.27% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 52) — stock went +7.44% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 66), stock went +6.48% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: we said UP (score 63), stock went +4.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-30: we said UP (score 62), stock went -3.37% over the next 7 days — WRONGApr 22Jul 30
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what INTU actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.