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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) company logo
Technology · NYSE
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

HPE STOCK · Hewlett Packard Enterprise BearishMulti-factor aligned

$53.22+1.51%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
38
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: NLP Tone
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 57.1%mean ret +0.42%n=254Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookBelow-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why HPE scores 38

  • -Defensive / negative MD&A language flagged
  • -Industry-link drag from peer weakness
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on HPE? — 69 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 29 OF 69 DAYS — RIGHT 25 · WRONG 4
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%+30%+35%
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

+40%+45%+50%2026-04-27: we said UP (score 68), stock went +1.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-28: we said UP (score 66), stock went +4.96% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-29: no call (score 50) — stock went +8.66% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 48) — stock went +4.95% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: we said UP (score 68), stock went +8.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said UP (score 69), stock went +8.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: we said UP (score 74), stock went +0.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-06: we said UP (score 74), stock went +6.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-07: no call (score 47) — stock went +12.38% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 49) — stock went +11.45% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: we said UP (score 73), stock went +5.84% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-12: we said UP (score 73), stock went +5.67% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-13: no call (score 43) — stock went +7.90% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 43) — stock went +5.92% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 48) — stock went +10.11% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: we said UP (score 73), stock went +14.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 69), stock went +15.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-20: we said UP (score 69), stock went +14.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: we said UP (score 69), stock went +13.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 72), stock went +26.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 50) — stock went +25.07% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 58) — stock went +49.41% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: we said UP (score 70), stock went +44.90% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 71), stock went +44.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: no call (score 46) — stock went +28.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +15.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went +2.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -18.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: no call (score 41) — stock went -15.14% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went -10.28% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-08: no call (score 48) — stock went -0.37% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.99% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: no call (score 49) — stock went +4.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went +3.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.48% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.20% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -3.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: no call (score 55) — stock went -7.80% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 53) — stock went -6.33% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 52) — stock went -6.80% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -10.16% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: no call (score 41) — stock went -15.43% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 43) — stock went -7.64% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 47) — stock went -1.28% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.98% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 72), stock went +11.74% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: we said UP (score 77), stock went +17.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: no call (score 47) — stock went +14.58% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said UP (score 70), stock went +14.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: no call (score 55) — stock went +13.02% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 72), stock went +1.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 73), stock went -6.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: no call (score 55) — stock went -8.20% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 49) — stock went -1.10% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 55) — stock went -2.89% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 51) — stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 48) — stock went +5.67% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 48) — stock went +5.17% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 49) — stock went +2.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 54) — stock went -4.88% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.06% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.55% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 47) — stock went +5.35% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 60), stock went +8.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: no call (score 55) — stock went +16.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 50) — stock went +17.98% over the next 7 daysApr 27Jul 30
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what HPE actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.