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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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← HO.PA FULL ANALYSIS

Thales S.A. (HO.PA) Forecast

Industrials€222.70-1.15%

Framler has scored Thales S.A. daily since May 5 — 109 published scores, of which 104 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

45mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 45(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 47%)

Our daily score for HO.PA — last 109 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-05-05 score 452026-05-06 score 452026-05-07 score 462026-05-08 score 442026-05-11 score 572026-05-12 score 572026-05-13 score 442026-05-14 score 442026-05-15 score 452026-05-18 score 602026-05-19 score 602026-05-20 score 602026-05-21 score 602026-05-22 score 602026-05-25 score 602026-05-26 score 582026-05-27 score 592026-05-28 score 572026-05-29 score 582026-06-01 score 582026-06-02 score 612026-06-03 score 452026-06-04 score 442026-06-05 score 592026-06-08 score 592026-06-09 score 562026-06-10 score 592026-06-11 score 452026-06-12 score 532026-06-15 score 682026-06-16 score 432026-06-17 score 462026-06-18 score 562026-06-19 score 602026-06-22 score 472026-06-23 score 452026-06-24 score 562026-06-25 score 572026-06-26 score 462026-06-29 score 542026-06-30 score 442026-07-01 score 582026-07-02 score 572026-07-03 score 552026-07-06 score 432026-07-07 score 472026-07-08 score 452026-07-09 score 502026-07-10 score 522026-07-13 score 452026-07-14 score 462026-07-15 score 442026-07-16 score 602026-07-17 score 592026-07-20 score 592026-07-21 score 472026-07-22 score 462026-07-23 score 462026-07-24 score 442026-07-27 score 442026-07-28 score 492026-07-29 score 472026-07-30 score 502026-07-31 score 452026-08-03 score 452026-08-04 score 572026-08-05 score 572026-08-06 score 462026-08-07 score 472026-08-10 score 442026-08-11 score 472026-08-12 score 442026-08-13 score 462026-08-14 score 462026-08-17 score 452026-08-18 score 472026-08-19 score 512026-08-20 score 482026-08-21 score 552026-08-24 score 422026-08-25 score 552026-08-26 score 432026-08-27 score 432026-08-28 score 462026-08-31 score 532026-09-01 score 462026-09-02 score 462026-09-03 score 512026-09-04 score 442026-09-07 score 402026-09-08 score 452026-09-09 score 462026-09-10 score 462026-09-11 score 492026-09-14 score 482026-09-15 score 472026-09-16 score 562026-09-17 score 502026-09-18 score 442026-09-21 score 422026-09-22 score 522026-09-23 score 482026-09-24 score 432026-09-25 score 442026-09-28 score 462026-09-29 score 432026-09-30 score 432026-10-01 score 442026-10-02 score 44May 5Oct 2

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for HO.PA each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 98 of these 109 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on HO.PA? — 104 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 11 OF 104 DAYS — RIGHT 9 · WRONG 2

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On HO.PA they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-5%0%+5%+10%2026-05-05: no call (score 45) — stock went -4.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.33% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.47% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -6.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.48% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.58% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.59% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeTRANSITION

Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for HO.PA a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full HO.PA analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-14: no call (score 44) — stock went +1.39% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 45) — stock went +3.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.79% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-20: we said UP (score 60), stock went +3.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: we said UP (score 60), stock went +4.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.37% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 59) — stock went -2.34% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.37% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 58) — stock went -3.00% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 58) — stock went -3.01% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: no call (score 45) — stock went +3.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 44) — stock went +5.74% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.04% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.77% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.81% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 45) — stock went -0.60% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 68), stock went -3.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.13% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.23% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 56) — stock went -5.45% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: we said UP (score 60), stock went -6.92% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.68% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 45) — stock went -2.83% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.75% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 46) — stock went +9.98% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 54) — stock went +10.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 44) — stock went +12.56% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.49% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.05% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 55) — stock went -6.53% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 43) — stock went -7.22% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 47) — stock went -8.83% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 45) — stock went -8.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 50) — stock went -5.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 52) — stock went -2.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.09% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.08% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.77% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.34% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: no call (score 59) — stock went +6.91% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 59) — stock went +8.47% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 47) — stock went +9.53% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 46) — stock went +8.90% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 46) — stock went +3.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 44) — stock went +5.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 49) — stock went +3.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 47) — stock went +8.33% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 50) — stock went +8.82% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 45) — stock went +7.85% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 45) — stock went +7.12% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: no call (score 57) — stock went +3.93% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.93% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.33% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.30% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 44) — stock went +1.21% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 47) — stock went -1.11% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.32% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 46) — stock went -5.63% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.57% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 45) — stock went -6.04% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 47) — stock went -5.62% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 51) — stock went -6.50% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: no call (score 48) — stock went -4.31% over the next 7 days2026-08-21: no call (score 55) — stock went -3.44% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 42) — stock went -3.21% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 55) — stock went -3.67% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 43) — stock went -4.92% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 43) — stock went -5.40% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.70% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.68% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.47% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.23% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 51) — stock went -4.85% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.83% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -1.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.39% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: no call (score 46) — stock went +3.70% over the next 7 days2026-09-10: no call (score 46) — stock went +8.37% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 49) — stock went +5.95% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 48) — stock went +4.59% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: no call (score 47) — stock went +2.82% over the next 7 days2026-09-16: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 50) — stock went -2.37% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.27% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 42) — stock went -4.07% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 52) — stock went -5.15% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: no call (score 48) — stock went -3.73% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: no call (score 43) — stock went -5.57% over the next 7 days2026-09-25: no call (score 44) — stock went -1.68% over the next 7 daysMay 5Sep 25
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what HO.PA actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.