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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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← HFG.DE FULL ANALYSIS

HelloFresh SE (HFG.DE) Forecast

Consumer Cyclical€2.34-2.62%

Framler has scored HelloFresh SE daily since May 8 — 106 published scores, of which 101 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

43mixed
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 43(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 47%)

Our daily score for HFG.DE — last 106 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-05-08 score 442026-05-11 score 442026-05-12 score 442026-05-13 score 442026-05-14 score 442026-05-15 score 442026-05-18 score 452026-05-19 score 492026-05-20 score 442026-05-21 score 442026-05-22 score 542026-05-25 score 442026-05-26 score 452026-05-27 score 452026-05-28 score 452026-05-29 score 522026-06-01 score 532026-06-02 score 442026-06-03 score 442026-06-04 score 442026-06-05 score 442026-06-08 score 442026-06-09 score 442026-06-10 score 462026-06-11 score 522026-06-12 score 392026-06-15 score 572026-06-16 score 462026-06-17 score 472026-06-18 score 432026-06-19 score 432026-06-22 score 472026-06-23 score 472026-06-24 score 462026-06-25 score 432026-06-26 score 522026-06-29 score 462026-06-30 score 462026-07-01 score 552026-07-02 score 432026-07-03 score 482026-07-06 score 402026-07-07 score 462026-07-08 score 452026-07-09 score 472026-07-10 score 482026-07-13 score 322026-07-14 score 262026-07-15 score 462026-07-16 score 462026-07-17 score 452026-07-20 score 452026-07-21 score 462026-07-22 score 322026-07-23 score 442026-07-24 score 482026-07-27 score 482026-07-28 score 572026-07-29 score 522026-07-30 score 282026-07-31 score 302026-08-03 score 302026-08-04 score 532026-08-05 score 482026-08-06 score 472026-08-07 score 452026-08-10 score 452026-08-11 score 442026-08-12 score 452026-08-13 score 452026-08-14 score 462026-08-17 score 452026-08-18 score 542026-08-19 score 452026-08-20 score 312026-08-21 score 482026-08-24 score 442026-08-25 score 452026-08-26 score 462026-08-27 score 462026-08-28 score 442026-08-31 score 452026-09-01 score 252026-09-02 score 232026-09-03 score 342026-09-04 score 462026-09-07 score 462026-09-08 score 442026-09-09 score 272026-09-10 score 482026-09-11 score 472026-09-14 score 532026-09-15 score 432026-09-16 score 542026-09-17 score 472026-09-18 score 462026-09-21 score 442026-09-22 score 552026-09-23 score 452026-09-24 score 442026-09-25 score 372026-09-28 score 522026-09-29 score 422026-09-30 score 432026-10-01 score 442026-10-02 score 45May 8Oct 2

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for HFG.DE each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 92 of these 106 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on HFG.DE? — 101 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 14 OF 101 DAYS — RIGHT 9 · WRONG 5

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On HFG.DE they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%2026-05-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -1.32% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 44) — stock went +6.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.24% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeTRANSITION

Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for HFG.DE a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full HFG.DE analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-13: no call (score 44) — stock went +8.43% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 44) — stock went +6.62% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.70% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.41% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.94% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.72% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 44) — stock went +1.47% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 45) — stock went -1.42% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.41% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.90% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 52) — stock went -4.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.17% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -1.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.31% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 52) — stock went -0.51% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -2.85% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-15: no call (score 57) — stock went -5.18% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.91% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 47) — stock went -2.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 43) — stock went -3.40% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 43) — stock went -6.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.47% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.71% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.57% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 43) — stock went +5.96% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 52) — stock went +5.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 46) — stock went +6.84% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 46) — stock went +0.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 55) — stock went -3.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 43) — stock went -12.34% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 48) — stock went -7.98% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -11.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: no call (score 46) — stock went -8.07% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 45) — stock went -8.05% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 47) — stock went -6.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 48) — stock went -3.38% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +0.59% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went +1.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: no call (score 46) — stock went +0.73% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.78% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 45) — stock went -4.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.15% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -3.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.16% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 48) — stock went +4.80% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 57) — stock went -0.49% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.72% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went -5.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-31: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -3.83% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went -1.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: no call (score 53) — stock went -0.70% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.50% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.31% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 45) — stock went -9.67% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: no call (score 45) — stock went -7.79% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 44) — stock went -9.74% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 45) — stock went -12.91% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 45) — stock went -15.17% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.17% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 45) — stock went -11.00% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 54) — stock went -6.99% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.24% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -2.54% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-21: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.10% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.61% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.35% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 46) — stock went -5.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 46) — stock went -6.16% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: no call (score 44) — stock went -6.57% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: no call (score 45) — stock went -3.20% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went +1.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-02: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went +3.85% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-03: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +10.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-04: no call (score 46) — stock went +8.17% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: no call (score 46) — stock went -0.79% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.14% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -1.93% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-10: no call (score 48) — stock went -5.03% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 47) — stock went -6.20% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.78% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: no call (score 43) — stock went -4.95% over the next 7 days2026-09-16: no call (score 54) — stock went -2.56% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 47) — stock went -1.11% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 46) — stock went -19.94% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 44) — stock went -14.29% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 55) — stock went -11.09% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: no call (score 45) — stock went -13.32% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: no call (score 44) — stock went -12.30% over the next 7 days2026-09-25: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -3.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHTMay 8Sep 25
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what HFG.DE actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.