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← GOLD FULL ANALYSIS

Barrick Gold (GOLD) Forecast

Basic Materials$45.66+0.29%

Framler has scored Barrick Gold daily since Apr 27 — 84 published scores, of which 78 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

52bullish
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 52(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 50%)

Our daily score for GOLD — last 84 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-04-27 score 762026-04-28 score 752026-04-29 score 752026-04-30 score 532026-05-01 score 552026-05-04 score 552026-05-05 score 802026-05-06 score 802026-05-07 score 542026-05-08 score 572026-05-11 score 692026-05-12 score 692026-05-13 score 552026-05-14 score 552026-05-15 score 522026-05-18 score 522026-05-19 score 452026-05-20 score 602026-05-21 score 712026-05-22 score 712026-05-25 score 552026-05-26 score 682026-05-27 score 682026-05-28 score 522026-05-29 score 532026-06-01 score 562026-06-02 score 492026-06-03 score 502026-06-04 score 542026-06-05 score 512026-06-08 score 542026-06-09 score 502026-06-10 score 522026-06-11 score 592026-06-12 score 432026-06-15 score 742026-06-16 score 722026-06-17 score 482026-06-18 score 472026-06-19 score 472026-06-22 score 532026-06-23 score 512026-06-24 score 522026-06-25 score 472026-06-26 score 552026-06-29 score 752026-06-30 score 702026-07-01 score 482026-07-02 score 522026-07-03 score 692026-07-06 score 712026-07-07 score 702026-07-08 score 532026-07-09 score 492026-07-10 score 472026-07-13 score 572026-07-14 score 532026-07-15 score 722026-07-16 score 722026-07-17 score 582026-07-20 score 582026-07-21 score 482026-07-22 score 732026-07-23 score 712026-07-24 score 492026-07-27 score 492026-07-28 score 592026-07-29 score 522026-07-30 score 492026-07-31 score 752026-08-03 score 752026-08-04 score 742026-08-05 score 562026-08-06 score 522026-08-07 score 502026-08-10 score 712026-08-11 score 512026-08-12 score 712026-08-13 score 722026-08-14 score 492026-08-17 score 512026-08-18 score 722026-08-19 score 422026-08-20 score 70Apr 27Aug 20

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for GOLD each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 53 of these 84 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on GOLD? — 78 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 28 OF 78 DAYS — RIGHT 13 · WRONG 15
-10%-5%0%+5%+10%2026-04-27: we said UP (score 76), stock went -9.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: we said UP (score 75), stock went -9.07% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-29: we said UP (score 75), stock went -5.73% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-30: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.67% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.44% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: we said UP (score 80), stock went -1.79% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-06: we said UP (score 80), stock went -3.80% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-07: no call (score 54) — stock went -5.89% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeTRANSITION

Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
Sector SpilloverSTRONG
Sector MomentumSTRONG
AccrualsGOOD
Insider FlowGOOD
BEARISH FACTORS
QualityPOOR
Short InterestPOOR

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for GOLD a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full GOLD analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-08: no call (score 57) — stock went -10.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: we said UP (score 69), stock went -11.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-12: we said UP (score 69), stock went -8.53% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-13: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.85% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.16% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 52) — stock went +7.00% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 52) — stock went +11.36% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 45) — stock went +8.75% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said UP (score 60), stock went +6.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: we said UP (score 71), stock went +4.44% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 71), stock went +1.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 55) — stock went -8.80% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: we said UP (score 68), stock went -7.79% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-27: we said UP (score 68), stock went -9.04% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-28: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.14% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 53) — stock went -7.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 56) — stock went -4.37% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 49) — stock went +5.84% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 50) — stock went +1.85% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 54) — stock went +10.35% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 51) — stock went +7.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 54) — stock went +10.20% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 50) — stock went +8.08% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 52) — stock went +1.96% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.66% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 43) — stock went -3.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 74), stock went -5.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: we said UP (score 72), stock went -2.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: no call (score 48) — stock went -5.51% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 47) — stock went -2.95% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 47) — stock went -0.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.48% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.35% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 47) — stock went +6.46% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 55) — stock went +6.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: we said UP (score 75), stock went +5.08% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said UP (score 70), stock went +5.45% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: no call (score 48) — stock went -0.79% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.93% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said UP (score 69), stock went -10.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: we said UP (score 71), stock went -13.53% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 70), stock went -11.31% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 53) — stock went -9.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 49) — stock went -6.30% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 47) — stock went -8.15% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 57) — stock went -4.77% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 53) — stock went +4.99% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: we said UP (score 72), stock went +2.92% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-16: we said UP (score 72), stock went -0.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.73% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 58) — stock went +7.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 48) — stock went +8.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said UP (score 73), stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 71), stock went +4.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: no call (score 49) — stock went +4.63% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 49) — stock went +7.06% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 52) — stock went +6.20% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 49) — stock went +4.66% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said UP (score 75), stock went +3.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said UP (score 75), stock went +5.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said UP (score 74), stock went +3.11% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.66% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 52) — stock went +1.11% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 50) — stock went +4.71% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: we said UP (score 71), stock went +4.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-11: no call (score 51) — stock went -3.75% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: we said UP (score 71), stock went +4.81% over the next 7 days — RIGHTApr 27Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what GOLD actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.