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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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DexCom, Inc. (DXCM) company logo
Healthcare · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

DXCM STOCK · DexCom, Inc. BullishMulti-factor aligned

$90.22+0.38%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
61
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Healthcare has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [11–95]Top driver: Sector Spillover
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 60.3%mean ret +2.36%n=1561Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why DXCM scores 61

  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind
  • +Adjacent industry leaders rallying (Cohen-Frazzini)
  • -Options skew negative — hedging flow elevated

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on DXCM? — 78 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 33 OF 78 DAYS — RIGHT 12 · WRONG 21
-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%2026-04-27: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.48% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 48) — stock went -3.14% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 52) — stock went +1.75% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: we said UP (score 61), stock went +5.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: no call (score 49) — stock went +1.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: we said UP (score 68), stock went -3.29% over the next 7 days — WRONG
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-05: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.79% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 46) — stock went -1.53% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 46) — stock went -4.21% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: we said UP (score 74), stock went +1.18% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-11: no call (score 49) — stock went +11.17% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 49) — stock went +12.84% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 55) — stock went +19.07% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 55) — stock went +22.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 53) — stock went +24.70% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 53) — stock went +16.84% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 56) — stock went +10.63% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said UP (score 69), stock went +4.94% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.56% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 55) — stock went +3.84% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.87% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.06% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: we said UP (score 71), stock went +3.32% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.72% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went +3.91% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +4.43% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +1.80% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +3.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: no call (score 56) — stock went +3.83% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.87% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 52) — stock went -4.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -8.90% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went -3.08% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: no call (score 49) — stock went -8.21% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -8.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -7.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-17: no call (score 56) — stock went -4.66% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.62% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.22% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 47) — stock went -3.44% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.09% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 57) — stock went +2.15% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +5.43% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: no call (score 57) — stock went +3.19% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +5.13% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-01: no call (score 54) — stock went +9.96% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 50) — stock went +6.04% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +5.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +7.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +2.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went +0.67% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +5.29% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +4.97% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went +0.97% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -2.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-15: we said DOWN (score 37), stock went -3.63% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-16: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.09% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -8.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -4.28% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: no call (score 52) — stock went -1.11% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 50) — stock went +4.35% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 52) — stock went +18.40% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 52) — stock went +22.04% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +18.50% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +10.43% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +10.49% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-31: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +13.70% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said DOWN (score 29), stock went +5.03% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-04: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +2.54% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.44% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 51) — stock went +10.67% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: no call (score 52) — stock went +8.11% over the next 7 days2026-08-10: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +4.73% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-11: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.39% over the next 7 daysApr 27Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what DXCM actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.