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Dover Corporation (DOV) company logo
Industrials · NYSE
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

DOV STOCK · Dover Corporation NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$208.84-0.60%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
53
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: NLP Tone
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 56.7%mean ret +2.11%n=13577Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookMiddle of universe — weak directional signal this week🔒 Sign in for number

Why DOV scores 53

  • -Defensive / negative MD&A language flagged
  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Industry-link drag from peer weakness

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on DOV? — 65 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 20 OF 65 DAYS — RIGHT 14 · WRONG 6
-5%0%+5%2026-05-05: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.02% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.96% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: we said UP (score 61), stock went -5.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-08: no call (score 59) — stock went -4.59% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 59) — stock went -4.22% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 59) — stock went -5.65% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 72), stock went -1.74% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 72), stock went -3.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: no call (score 50) — stock went -2.08% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.20% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-20: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.80% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-22: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: no call (score 59) — stock went -1.12% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.92% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.88% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.05% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: we said UP (score 60), stock went +6.47% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.91% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.35% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.86% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 60), stock went +2.75% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.98% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 58) — stock went -0.08% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.97% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 65), stock went +5.51% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.30% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.75% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.50% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.23% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 56) — stock went -2.85% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 57) — stock went -4.73% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said UP (score 60), stock went -6.93% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: no call (score 56) — stock went -4.97% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 59) — stock went -4.44% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: we said UP (score 61), stock went -5.71% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-02: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.58% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.76% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.26% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 52) — stock went -0.57% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 63), stock went +2.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.65% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.33% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.18% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 52) — stock went -6.81% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 56) — stock went -7.04% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.89% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 58) — stock went -6.35% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 57) — stock went -4.88% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 51) — stock went +3.45% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 51) — stock went +1.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.98% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: we said UP (score 60), stock went +6.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-31: no call (score 59) — stock went +3.46% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 59) — stock went +2.68% over the next 7 daysMay 5Aug 3
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what DOV actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.