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Cintas Corporation (CTAS) company logo
Industrials · NASDAQ
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

CTAS STOCK · Cintas Corporation BullishMulti-factor aligned

$193.02-1.32%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
74
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Industrials has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementSTRONG ALIGNMENT

Most factor streams point the same way.

90% interval: [8–95]Top driver: Momentum
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 50.8%mean ret +0.45%n=6652Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookTop decile — strong factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why CTAS scores 74

  • +Trading near its 52-week high (George-Hwang)
  • +Constructive 10-K MD&A tone (Loughran-McDonald)
  • +High-quality fundamentals (Novy-Marx gross profitability)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on CTAS? — 113 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 50 OF 113 DAYS — RIGHT 28 · WRONG 22
-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-21: no call (score 48) — stock went -2.50% over the next 7 days2026-04-22: no call (score 45) — stock went -1.31% over the next 7 days2026-04-23: we said UP (score 77), stock went +0.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-04-24: we said UP (score 76), stock went -4.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-27: we said UP (score 66), stock went -5.12% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-28: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.75% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-04-29: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.79% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-01: we said UP (score 64), stock went -4.43% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-04: we said UP (score 65), stock went -2.91% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-05: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 58) — stock went -3.37% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 58) — stock went -2.01% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.02% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 57) — stock went +5.88% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.57% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 73), stock went +6.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 73), stock went +5.39% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: we said UP (score 73), stock went +4.21% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: we said UP (score 74), stock went +1.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 62), stock went -1.96% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-20: we said UP (score 62), stock went -1.36% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-21: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.99% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.64% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: we said UP (score 62), stock went -0.02% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-26: we said UP (score 63), stock went +0.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 63), stock went +2.12% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-28: we said UP (score 64), stock went +5.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: no call (score 57) — stock went +3.92% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.40% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: we said UP (score 76), stock went +4.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: we said UP (score 63), stock went +4.09% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-04: we said UP (score 64), stock went +4.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-05: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.04% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-09: we said UP (score 67), stock went +1.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: no call (score 52) — stock went -5.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: we said UP (score 61), stock went -5.29% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: we said UP (score 67), stock went -6.83% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-15: we said UP (score 68), stock went -3.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.40% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.27% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.32% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.61% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said UP (score 66), stock went -1.04% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.37% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-24: we said UP (score 62), stock went +3.22% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-25: no call (score 47) — stock went +6.11% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: we said UP (score 62), stock went +5.41% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-29: no call (score 53) — stock went +3.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 58) — stock went +7.54% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 57) — stock went +5.93% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.99% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-03: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.95% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went +7.23% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-08: no call (score 56) — stock went +5.11% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 57) — stock went +14.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: we said UP (score 69), stock went +15.06% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: no call (score 58) — stock went +12.34% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: we said UP (score 61), stock went +9.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-15: no call (score 58) — stock went +9.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.66% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said UP (score 61), stock went +3.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-21: we said UP (score 77), stock went +6.49% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 78), stock went +7.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 74), stock went +2.70% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.92% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: we said UP (score 62), stock went -3.47% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: we said UP (score 60), stock went -6.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-30: no call (score 57) — stock went -6.64% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: we said UP (score 70), stock went -1.81% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-03: we said UP (score 70), stock went -0.94% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-04: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.62% over the next 7 days2026-08-05: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-06: no call (score 54) — stock went -0.35% over the next 7 days2026-08-07: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -1.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.58% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.61% over the next 7 days2026-08-12: no call (score 45) — stock went -1.07% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.00% over the next 7 days2026-08-14: no call (score 53) — stock went +1.54% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: no call (score 57) — stock went +3.95% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 57) — stock went +3.51% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: no call (score 54) — stock went +3.17% over the next 7 days2026-08-20: no call (score 47) — stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days2026-08-21: no call (score 46) — stock went +0.32% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: no call (score 41) — stock went -0.98% over the next 7 days2026-08-25: no call (score 57) — stock went -3.28% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: no call (score 57) — stock went -3.26% over the next 7 days2026-08-27: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.30% over the next 7 days2026-08-28: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.80% over the next 7 days2026-08-31: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.80% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 43) — stock went -0.64% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 54) — stock went +0.18% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: no call (score 52) — stock went +0.22% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.17% over the next 7 days2026-09-08: no call (score 55) — stock went -0.76% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: no call (score 56) — stock went -0.52% over the next 7 days2026-09-10: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.04% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 54) — stock went -0.40% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 55) — stock went -2.29% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went -4.41% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-16: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.51% over the next 7 days2026-09-17: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.98% over the next 7 days2026-09-21: no call (score 54) — stock went +1.49% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 42) — stock went +0.44% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: no call (score 58) — stock went -1.88% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.89% over the next 7 daysApr 21Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what CTAS actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.