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← BMY FULL ANALYSIS

Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Forecast

Healthcare$61.15+0.53%

Framler has scored Bristol-Myers Squibb daily since Apr 27 — 115 published scores, of which 109 are old enough to be graded against what the stock actually did next. Both are below, unfiltered.

55bearish
FRAMLER SCORE · /100
Prediction Interval
Score: 55(90%-target range: 5–95 · agreement 53%)

Our daily score for BMY — last 115 published days

LEANS BULLISHNO STRONG CALLLEANS BEARISH0204060801002026-04-27 score 532026-04-28 score 502026-04-29 score 462026-04-30 score 182026-05-01 score 172026-05-04 score 202026-05-05 score 272026-05-06 score 272026-05-07 score 222026-05-08 score 282026-05-11 score 512026-05-12 score 512026-05-13 score 722026-05-14 score 722026-05-15 score 732026-05-18 score 442026-05-19 score 422026-05-20 score 432026-05-21 score 572026-05-22 score 722026-05-25 score 732026-05-26 score 562026-05-27 score 562026-05-28 score 342026-05-29 score 342026-06-01 score 342026-06-02 score 552026-06-03 score 492026-06-04 score 512026-06-05 score 422026-06-08 score 392026-06-09 score 412026-06-10 score 532026-06-11 score 592026-06-12 score 522026-06-15 score 442026-06-16 score 542026-06-17 score 552026-06-18 score 312026-06-19 score 462026-06-22 score 352026-06-23 score 322026-06-24 score 342026-06-25 score 332026-06-26 score 362026-06-29 score 262026-06-30 score 312026-07-01 score 312026-07-02 score 362026-07-03 score 392026-07-06 score 322026-07-07 score 332026-07-08 score 332026-07-09 score 352026-07-10 score 322026-07-13 score 322026-07-14 score 322026-07-15 score 232026-07-16 score 302026-07-17 score 312026-07-20 score 312026-07-21 score 232026-07-22 score 312026-07-23 score 232026-07-24 score 312026-07-27 score 312026-07-28 score 252026-07-29 score 562026-07-30 score 542026-07-31 score 412026-08-03 score 412026-08-04 score 752026-08-05 score 782026-08-06 score 352026-08-07 score 362026-08-10 score 352026-08-11 score 342026-08-12 score 562026-08-13 score 612026-08-14 score 722026-08-17 score 592026-08-18 score 412026-08-19 score 722026-08-20 score 732026-08-21 score 582026-08-24 score 702026-08-25 score 422026-08-26 score 702026-08-27 score 702026-08-28 score 742026-08-31 score 552026-09-01 score 572026-09-02 score 422026-09-03 score 402026-09-04 score 412026-09-07 score 382026-09-08 score 572026-09-09 score 552026-09-10 score 542026-09-11 score 552026-09-14 score 542026-09-15 score 602026-09-16 score 642026-09-17 score 582026-09-18 score 812026-09-21 score 592026-09-22 score 562026-09-23 score 592026-09-24 score 422026-09-25 score 412026-09-28 score 442026-09-29 score 402026-09-30 score 442026-10-01 score 512026-10-02 score 55Apr 27Oct 2

The purple line is the 0–100 score we published for BMY each day. In the green zone (above 60) the model leans bullish; in the red zone (below 40) it leans bearish; in between it isn't making a strong call. 51 of these 115 days sat in the middle zone — the model has not made a strong call on this stock recently. Every point is committed to a public, Bitcoin-anchored ledger — we can't quietly rewrite a bad call.

Were we right on BMY? — 109 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 63 OF 109 DAYS — RIGHT 24 · WRONG 39
-5%0%+5%2026-04-27: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.27% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 50) — stock went -1.44% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.87% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: we said DOWN (score 18), stock went -2.33% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-01: we said DOWN (score 17), stock went -7.31% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-04: we said DOWN (score 20), stock went -4.38% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -0.88% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-06: we said DOWN (score 27), stock went -0.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-07: we said DOWN (score 22), stock went +0.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-08: we said DOWN (score 28), stock went +1.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-11: no call (score 51) — stock went +2.08% over the next 7 days
Current RegimeTRANSITION

Markets are shifting between regimes. Factor leadership is rotating; signals may be noisier than usual.

What the factors say

BULLISH FACTORS
QualitySTRONG
AccrualsSTRONG
Earnings DriftGOOD
BEARISH FACTORS
Sector SpilloverPOOR
Sector MomentumPOOR
ValueWEAK
MomentumWEAK

Why there is no price target here

Most forecast sites will print an exact price for BMY a year out. We won't: a point target is a guess dressed up as precision. What we publish instead is a 0–100 ranking score with an honest uncertainty range, a daily record of every score we've ever published (anchored in Bitcoin, so it can't be edited after the fact), and a pre-registered public bet on whether the score ranks stocks better than chance. If the model is wrong, this page will say so — that's the product.

View full BMY analysis — factor breakdown, forward returns, news →
Model-generated forecast based on 13 academic factors. Not investment advice. See methodology for how the Framler score is built.
2026-05-12: no call (score 51) — stock went +4.74% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 72), stock went +3.85% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-14: we said UP (score 72), stock went +5.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-15: we said UP (score 73), stock went +4.74% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-18: no call (score 44) — stock went +1.81% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 42) — stock went +1.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 43) — stock went -1.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 57) — stock went -2.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 72), stock went -3.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-25: we said UP (score 73), stock went -7.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-26: no call (score 56) — stock went -8.41% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 56) — stock went -5.70% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -1.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +0.63% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-01: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went -2.82% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: no call (score 55) — stock went +2.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 49) — stock went +2.09% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 51) — stock went +3.98% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 42) — stock went +0.94% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -1.80% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: no call (score 41) — stock went +0.63% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 53) — stock went -2.12% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 59) — stock went -2.88% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.87% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.25% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.26% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.65% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +0.20% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: no call (score 46) — stock went +6.52% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +8.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-23: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +5.34% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-24: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +1.64% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-25: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +5.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-26: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +2.37% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: we said DOWN (score 26), stock went -1.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-30: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -1.01% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-01: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-02: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went +2.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: we said DOWN (score 39), stock went -0.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-06: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +2.08% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +2.26% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said DOWN (score 33), stock went +0.02% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +5.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +4.83% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +4.48% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went +2.68% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-15: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went +6.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-16: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +4.75% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-17: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +2.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-20: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +3.00% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-21: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went +5.72% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-22: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +3.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: we said DOWN (score 23), stock went +6.75% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-24: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +6.18% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-27: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went +5.44% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-28: we said DOWN (score 25), stock went +5.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-29: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.05% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 54) — stock went +1.66% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 41) — stock went -0.22% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 41) — stock went -0.72% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: we said UP (score 75), stock went -2.84% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-05: we said UP (score 78), stock went -3.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-06: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went +1.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-07: we said DOWN (score 36), stock went -0.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -0.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-11: we said DOWN (score 34), stock went +1.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-12: no call (score 56) — stock went +6.29% over the next 7 days2026-08-13: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-14: we said UP (score 72), stock went +3.65% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-17: no call (score 59) — stock went +5.41% over the next 7 days2026-08-18: no call (score 41) — stock went +5.09% over the next 7 days2026-08-19: we said UP (score 72), stock went +2.30% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-20: we said UP (score 73), stock went -0.98% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-21: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.70% over the next 7 days2026-08-24: we said UP (score 70), stock went -0.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-25: no call (score 42) — stock went -0.54% over the next 7 days2026-08-26: we said UP (score 70), stock went -0.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-27: we said UP (score 70), stock went +0.77% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-28: we said UP (score 74), stock went -0.19% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-31: no call (score 55) — stock went -2.84% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 57) — stock went -3.17% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 42) — stock went -3.75% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -5.78% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-04: no call (score 41) — stock went -6.54% over the next 7 days2026-09-07: we said DOWN (score 38), stock went -4.07% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-08: no call (score 57) — stock went -4.62% over the next 7 days2026-09-09: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.69% over the next 7 days2026-09-10: no call (score 54) — stock went -2.44% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.08% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 54) — stock went -1.60% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: we said UP (score 60), stock went -4.60% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-16: we said UP (score 64), stock went -4.05% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-17: no call (score 58) — stock went -3.30% over the next 7 days2026-09-18: we said UP (score 81), stock went +0.03% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-09-21: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.30% over the next 7 days2026-09-22: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.38% over the next 7 days2026-09-23: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.24% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: no call (score 42) — stock went +0.51% over the next 7 daysApr 27Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what BMY actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.