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Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
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Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) company logo
Real Estate · NYSE
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

ARE STOCK · Alexandria Real Estate NeutralMulti-factor aligned

$49.74+2.60%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
47
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Real Estate has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: NLP Tone
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 55.6%mean ret +2.01%n=12362Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookMiddle of universe — weak directional signal this week🔒 Sign in for number

Why ARE scores 47

  • -Defensive / negative MD&A language flagged
  • +Clean accruals — earnings backed by cash (Sloan)
  • +High-quality fundamentals (Novy-Marx gross profitability)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on ARE? — 69 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 4 OF 69 DAYS — RIGHT 3 · WRONG 1

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On ARE they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2026-04-27: no call (score 56) — stock went -13.21% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 56) — stock went -3.86% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 45) — stock went +13.41% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 46) — stock went +11.04% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-01: no call (score 48) — stock went +14.19% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: no call (score 51) — stock went +11.14% over the next 7 days2026-05-05: no call (score 43) — stock went +6.16% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 43) — stock went +7.92% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 57) — stock went +0.74% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 57) — stock went -1.34% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 44) — stock went +0.03% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 44) — stock went -0.35% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.90% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.23% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 51) — stock went +7.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 48) — stock went +3.83% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: we said UP (score 60), stock went +8.92% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-21: no call (score 52) — stock went +4.64% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 56) — stock went +3.82% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 55) — stock went +0.54% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 56) — stock went +9.03% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 57) — stock went +5.78% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 58) — stock went +6.39% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.44% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.17% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 52) — stock went +8.88% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 48) — stock went -0.82% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.93% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 51) — stock went +0.09% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.15% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: no call (score 54) — stock went +2.98% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 46) — stock went -7.06% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: we said UP (score 61), stock went -2.45% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-12: no call (score 54) — stock went -3.87% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: no call (score 50) — stock went -4.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-16: no call (score 56) — stock went -1.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 48) — stock went -1.00% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: no call (score 52) — stock went +8.29% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: no call (score 44) — stock went +8.21% over the next 7 days2026-06-22: no call (score 54) — stock went +8.94% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.18% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.73% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: we said UP (score 63), stock went +2.62% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-26: no call (score 55) — stock went -6.42% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 56) — stock went -9.69% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 59) — stock went -11.12% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 55) — stock went -9.10% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 47) — stock went -8.49% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 56) — stock went -8.94% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 54) — stock went -8.56% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.31% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 49) — stock went -2.41% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: no call (score 55) — stock went +4.37% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 50) — stock went +3.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.53% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: no call (score 53) — stock went +5.26% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 53) — stock went +4.51% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.92% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 56) — stock went +4.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +2.33% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 51) — stock went +7.89% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 55) — stock went +6.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 49) — stock went +5.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 53) — stock went +2.65% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 53) — stock went +4.10% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 55) — stock went -4.90% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 59) — stock went -7.22% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 50) — stock went -9.84% over the next 7 daysApr 27Jul 30
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what ARE actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.