Framler
Signal Feed
WatchlistTrack Record
⌕
LIVE
Framler · © 2026
Engine
MethodologySectorsPatternsCompareAlternativesScreenersGlossaryTrack RecordSleeve P&LShort SqueezeTop Rated
Research moat
MoatResearchCase Study: NVDA
Company
InvestorsPressBlogChangelogRoadmapAPIAboutContact
FEATURED ANALYSISNVDATSLAAAPLAMDMSFTMETA
Framler is a quantitative research platform - not a broker, investment advisor, or fiduciary. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All model outputs - scores, verdicts, intervals, predictions - are for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Invest at your own risk. Built on public data - SEC EDGAR, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed, Yahoo Finance, Finnhub, FMP.
TRUSTThe BetLedgerStatusSecurity·LEGALTermsPrivacyDisclaimer
AMETEK Inc. (AME) company logo
Industrials · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

AME STOCK · AMETEK Inc. NeutralSingle-factor signal

$239.08-1.70%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
53
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [6–95]Top driver: Options Flow
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 57.1%mean ret +2.17%n=15262Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookMiddle of universe — weak directional signal this week🔒 Sign in for number

Why AME scores 53

  • +Options market positioned bullishly (Pan-Poteshman)
  • -Sector underperforming broader market
  • -Momentum fading — price weak vs peers

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

Unlock the full AME report
Free during early access · no credit card · 1,000+ stocks tracked daily
Sign up free →
How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on AME? — 78 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 40 OF 78 DAYS — RIGHT 22 · WRONG 18
-5%0%+5%2026-04-27: no call (score 50) — stock went -1.08% over the next 7 days2026-04-28: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.67% over the next 7 days2026-04-29: no call (score 48) — stock went +5.43% over the next 7 days2026-04-30: no call (score 51) — stock went +3.01% over the next 7 days2026-05-01: no call (score 49) — stock went -1.32% over the next 7 days2026-05-04: we said UP (score 63), stock went +0.73% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-05: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-06: we said UP (score 60), stock went -1.33% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-07: no call (score 59) — stock went -3.83% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 59) — stock went -2.91% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 43) — stock went -2.49% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-12: no call (score 43) — stock went -4.69% over the next 7 days2026-05-13: we said UP (score 60), stock went -3.00% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 60), stock went -3.56% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went -3.28% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-18: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-19: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.68% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-20: no call (score 53) — stock went +2.30% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.33% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.20% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.52% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-26: we said UP (score 60), stock went +1.43% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: no call (score 59) — stock went -0.53% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 59) — stock went +1.05% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.49% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-02: we said UP (score 61), stock went +2.88% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-03: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.61% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: we said UP (score 62), stock went -0.72% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-08: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.63% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: we said UP (score 60), stock went +0.64% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: we said UP (score 60), stock went +7.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-12: no call (score 56) — stock went +6.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 68), stock went +6.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-18: no call (score 59) — stock went +4.19% over the next 7 days2026-06-19: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went +0.13% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-23: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.16% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 57) — stock went +1.30% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: we said UP (score 60), stock went -0.32% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-26: we said UP (score 61), stock went -1.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-29: we said UP (score 61), stock went -0.16% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-30: we said UP (score 60), stock went -2.53% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-01: we said UP (score 60), stock went -4.38% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-02: no call (score 59) — stock went -1.75% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: we said UP (score 60), stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-06: no call (score 53) — stock went -1.07% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went -1.23% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.08% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said UP (score 62), stock went +2.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-13: we said UP (score 62), stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-14: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.44% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.34% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 44) — stock went +3.26% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 58) — stock went +1.97% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 58) — stock went +2.58% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 54) — stock went +2.64% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: we said UP (score 61), stock went -1.06% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-23: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.23% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.24% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: we said UP (score 61), stock went +4.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: no call (score 56) — stock went +5.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: no call (score 51) — stock went +6.86% over the next 7 days2026-07-31: no call (score 57) — stock went +5.69% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 57) — stock went +4.62% over the next 7 days2026-08-04: we said UP (score 60), stock went +5.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.76% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 63), stock went +0.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.36% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: no call (score 59) — stock went +0.20% over the next 7 days2026-08-11: we said UP (score 61), stock went -1.14% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-12: no call (score 56) — stock went -5.10% over the next 7 daysApr 27Aug 12
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what AME actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.