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Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) company logo
Basic Materials · NYSE
Calibration 4/4:●1d●7d●30d●90d

AEM STOCK · Agnico Eagle Mines BullishMulti-factor aligned

$183.69+1.72%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
57
◐Sector calibration · noisy
Engine accuracy in Basic Materials has been close to zero on recent rolling windows. Treat the composite as informational. Lean on Confluence patterns, Insider clustering, and Options flow — sub-signals that retain edge in narrative-driven cohorts.
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–95]Top driver: Sector Momentum
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 50.8%mean ret +0.45%n=6652Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookAbove-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why AEM scores 57

  • -Sector underperforming broader market
  • +High-quality fundamentals (Novy-Marx gross profitability)
  • +Trading cheap to peers (Fama-French value)

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on AEM? — 101 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 71 OF 101 DAYS — RIGHT 32 · WRONG 39
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%2026-05-07: we said UP (score 72), stock went +1.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-08: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.96% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-11: we said UP (score 72), stock went -9.89% over the next 7 days — WRONG
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-12: we said UP (score 72), stock went -11.91% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-13: we said UP (score 71), stock went -8.87% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-14: we said UP (score 71), stock went -9.30% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-15: we said UP (score 71), stock went -8.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-18: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.13% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.76% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.87% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 51) — stock went -0.10% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: we said UP (score 65), stock went +3.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-25: we said UP (score 72), stock went +0.38% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-26: we said UP (score 63), stock went +1.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-27: we said UP (score 62), stock went -4.94% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-05-28: we said UP (score 62), stock went +1.05% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-05-29: no call (score 57) — stock went -8.04% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: we said UP (score 70), stock went -11.49% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-02: we said UP (score 70), stock went -9.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-03: we said UP (score 71), stock went -14.79% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-04: we said UP (score 70), stock went -8.09% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-05: no call (score 53) — stock went -7.98% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: we said UP (score 70), stock went +4.97% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-09: we said UP (score 65), stock went +8.46% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-10: we said UP (score 60), stock went +8.17% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-11: no call (score 58) — stock went +9.30% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: no call (score 47) — stock went +5.76% over the next 7 days2026-06-15: we said UP (score 66), stock went +2.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-16: we said UP (score 69), stock went -6.78% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-17: we said UP (score 70), stock went -12.72% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-18: we said UP (score 67), stock went -9.72% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-19: we said UP (score 65), stock went -5.66% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-22: no call (score 56) — stock went -7.74% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 58) — stock went -7.02% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 53) — stock went -3.32% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 50) — stock went +0.26% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 55) — stock went -0.79% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: we said UP (score 67), stock went -1.46% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-30: we said UP (score 62), stock went -2.23% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-01: no call (score 47) — stock went -6.60% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.76% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-03: no call (score 58) — stock went -4.54% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: we said UP (score 65), stock went -6.73% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-07: we said UP (score 62), stock went -7.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-08: we said UP (score 70), stock went -4.58% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-09: no call (score 52) — stock went -5.25% over the next 7 days2026-07-10: no call (score 56) — stock went -8.09% over the next 7 days2026-07-13: we said UP (score 74), stock went -7.17% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-14: no call (score 59) — stock went -1.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.83% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-16: we said UP (score 61), stock went +1.60% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-17: no call (score 55) — stock went +5.71% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 55) — stock went +6.56% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: we said UP (score 71), stock went +5.41% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-22: we said UP (score 70), stock went +1.98% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-23: we said UP (score 69), stock went +2.52% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-24: we said UP (score 68), stock went +0.53% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-27: we said UP (score 68), stock went +1.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-28: we said UP (score 73), stock went +3.19% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-29: no call (score 59) — stock went +15.13% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: we said UP (score 70), stock went +16.26% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-31: we said UP (score 72), stock went +18.62% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-03: we said UP (score 72), stock went +24.24% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-04: we said UP (score 72), stock went +23.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-05: we said UP (score 76), stock went +22.95% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-06: we said UP (score 68), stock went +9.01% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-07: we said UP (score 72), stock went +11.04% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-10: we said UP (score 71), stock went +5.57% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-11: we said UP (score 69), stock went +3.58% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-12: we said UP (score 72), stock went +14.29% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-13: we said UP (score 73), stock went +14.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-14: no call (score 58) — stock went +19.79% over the next 7 days2026-08-17: we said UP (score 72), stock went +16.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-18: we said UP (score 70), stock went +18.71% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-19: we said UP (score 70), stock went +14.50% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-20: we said UP (score 70), stock went +3.72% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-08-21: we said UP (score 69), stock went -2.73% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-24: we said UP (score 69), stock went -5.99% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-25: we said UP (score 69), stock went -11.21% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-26: we said UP (score 70), stock went -12.25% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-27: we said UP (score 70), stock went -3.23% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-28: we said UP (score 70), stock went -4.97% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-08-31: no call (score 45) — stock went -2.14% over the next 7 days2026-09-01: no call (score 57) — stock went -0.63% over the next 7 days2026-09-02: no call (score 58) — stock went +4.71% over the next 7 days2026-09-03: no call (score 58) — stock went +0.01% over the next 7 days2026-09-04: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.27% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-07: we said UP (score 71), stock went -3.51% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-08: we said UP (score 72), stock went -3.82% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-09: we said UP (score 73), stock went -3.11% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-10: no call (score 55) — stock went -0.59% over the next 7 days2026-09-11: no call (score 55) — stock went +1.43% over the next 7 days2026-09-14: no call (score 55) — stock went -1.44% over the next 7 days2026-09-15: we said UP (score 71), stock went -1.00% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-16: we said UP (score 86), stock went -0.68% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-17: we said UP (score 69), stock went -0.86% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-18: we said UP (score 70), stock went -3.42% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-21: we said UP (score 69), stock went -7.69% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-22: we said UP (score 72), stock went -5.90% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-09-23: no call (score 59) — stock went -9.96% over the next 7 days2026-09-24: we said UP (score 67), stock went -7.66% over the next 7 days — WRONGMay 7Sep 24
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what AEM actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.