Is RIO.AX a buy in 2026?

Mixed — Framler currently rates it neutral / hold based on the multi-factor Framler engine score of 44/100. Top drivers: Sector underperforming broader market. Framler combines momentum, quality, value, options flow, insider activity and HMM regime detection to score US-listed equities daily. This is statistical research, not investment advice.

Basic Materials · ASX

Calibration 2/4:1d7d30d90d

RIO.AX STOCK · Rio Tinto (AU) Neutral

$178.66-0.20%

44

Agreement0%·LOW

Signals diverge — low conviction.

90% interval: [5–90]Top driver: Sector Momentum

Below-average factor outlook for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why RIO.AX scores 44

Sector underperforming broader market

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🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 AI Analysis & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, factor shock) replayed through the live engine.

🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

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90-day net SEC Form 4 dollar flow with size normalisation, plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

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