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BMW AG (BMW.DE) company logo
Consumer Cyclical · XETRA
Calibration 2/4:●1d●7d○30d○90d

BMW.DE STOCK · BMW AG BearishMulti-factor aligned

€59.30-0.80%
~1-month outlook, not a day-trade. The score updates daily as the data changes — re-check weekly rather than reacting to a single day's move.
28
AgreementMODERATE ALIGNMENT

Some factor streams agree, others diverge.

90% interval: [5–87]Top driver: Momentum
PATTERN HISTORY · 14Dhit rate 47.3%mean ret -2.06%n=389Measured across every ticker that fired this setup — not this stock's own history.
OutlookBottom quartile — weak factor setup for this regime🔒 Sign in for number

Why BMW.DE scores 28

  • -Momentum fading — price weak vs peers
  • +Sector in favour — rotation tailwind
  • -Quality metrics weak — margins or leverage flagged

Full report — sign in to unlock

🔒 Forward-Return Projection

Expected returns over 1 / 7 / 30 / 90 days with 90% confidence intervals, regime amplifier, pattern multiplier, copula tail-dependence — composed into one Bayesian distribution.

🔒 Full Factor Breakdown

Per-factor 0-100 scores across quality, value, momentum, PEAD, accruals, insider flow, NLP tone, options flow, short interest, sector momentum, factor interaction — plus the score waterfall.

🔒 Confluence Patterns

Active multi-factor patterns (QUALITY COMPOUNDER, VALUE TRAP, SHORT SQUEEZE, OVEREXTENDED, etc.) with academic basis and pattern delta against the raw composite.

🔒 Plain-English Explanation & Scenarios

Plain-English read of what the engine sees on this ticker today + what-if scenarios (price ±N%, regime flip, shock) replayed through the deterministic engine. No AI in the scoring path.

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How is this score built?Methodology →24 patterns →Research paper →Sector rotation →Track record →Glossary →Math coherence →

Were we right on BMW.DE? — 65 graded days

WE MADE A CALL ON 8 OF 65 DAYS — RIGHT 6 · WRONG 2

Why so much grey? The score only takes a side when enough of the 13 factors agree on a direction. On BMW.DE they have mostly pointed different ways and cancelled each other out, so the honest output was “no call” — the model doesn't manufacture an opinion to have one. Nothing is missing here: across all 1,001 stocks about a third of graded days carry a call; this stock just hasn't been one of them lately.

-10%-5%0%+5%2026-05-05: no call (score 42) — stock went +3.63% over the next 7 days2026-05-06: no call (score 42) — stock went +4.51% over the next 7 days2026-05-07: no call (score 43) — stock went -6.17% over the next 7 days2026-05-08: no call (score 46) — stock went -9.66% over the next 7 days2026-05-11: no call (score 45) — stock went -8.15% over the next 7 days2026-05-12: no call (score 45) — stock went -8.88% over the next 7 days
factor
🔒 Insider Flow & News Grid

Local insider-disclosure flow where available (SEC Form 4 is US-only), plus filtered news headlines clustered by topic.

🔒 Watchlist & Virtual Trades

Add to watchlist for daily score alerts; place a paper trade with the engine's confidence dial frozen at entry; track P&L over 30 / 90 / 180 days against the verdict horizon.

2026-05-13: no call (score 45) — stock went -7.86% over the next 7 days2026-05-14: no call (score 45) — stock went -7.86% over the next 7 days2026-05-15: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.49% over the next 7 days2026-05-18: no call (score 45) — stock went +1.40% over the next 7 days2026-05-19: no call (score 47) — stock went +1.54% over the next 7 days2026-05-20: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.48% over the next 7 days2026-05-21: no call (score 44) — stock went +2.12% over the next 7 days2026-05-22: no call (score 53) — stock went +0.54% over the next 7 days2026-05-25: no call (score 51) — stock went -1.02% over the next 7 days2026-05-26: no call (score 44) — stock went -3.26% over the next 7 days2026-05-27: no call (score 43) — stock went -5.24% over the next 7 days2026-05-28: no call (score 44) — stock went -8.80% over the next 7 days2026-05-29: no call (score 50) — stock went -7.32% over the next 7 days2026-06-01: no call (score 44) — stock went -6.71% over the next 7 days2026-06-02: no call (score 44) — stock went -6.78% over the next 7 days2026-06-03: no call (score 54) — stock went -7.34% over the next 7 days2026-06-04: no call (score 41) — stock went -6.70% over the next 7 days2026-06-05: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.61% over the next 7 days2026-06-08: no call (score 44) — stock went -2.90% over the next 7 days2026-06-09: no call (score 43) — stock went -2.64% over the next 7 days2026-06-10: no call (score 44) — stock went -9.43% over the next 7 days2026-06-11: no call (score 54) — stock went -11.65% over the next 7 days2026-06-12: we said DOWN (score 35), stock went -9.86% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-15: we said UP (score 61), stock went -9.04% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-06-16: no call (score 46) — stock went -10.65% over the next 7 days2026-06-17: no call (score 57) — stock went -10.31% over the next 7 days2026-06-18: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -2.35% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-19: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -1.14% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-06-22: no call (score 46) — stock went -3.10% over the next 7 days2026-06-23: no call (score 48) — stock went -5.81% over the next 7 days2026-06-24: no call (score 45) — stock went -5.90% over the next 7 days2026-06-25: no call (score 42) — stock went -2.92% over the next 7 days2026-06-26: no call (score 56) — stock went +0.59% over the next 7 days2026-06-29: no call (score 55) — stock went +3.62% over the next 7 days2026-06-30: no call (score 47) — stock went +6.50% over the next 7 days2026-07-01: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.54% over the next 7 days2026-07-02: no call (score 43) — stock went +0.86% over the next 7 days2026-07-03: no call (score 45) — stock went -2.06% over the next 7 days2026-07-06: no call (score 44) — stock went -4.52% over the next 7 days2026-07-07: no call (score 47) — stock went -4.62% over the next 7 days2026-07-08: no call (score 45) — stock went -6.09% over the next 7 days2026-07-09: we said DOWN (score 32), stock went -0.27% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-10: we said DOWN (score 30), stock went +1.00% over the next 7 days — WRONG2026-07-13: no call (score 45) — stock went +0.07% over the next 7 days2026-07-14: we said DOWN (score 31), stock went -0.10% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-15: no call (score 45) — stock went -0.69% over the next 7 days2026-07-16: no call (score 46) — stock went -2.48% over the next 7 days2026-07-17: no call (score 52) — stock went -3.07% over the next 7 days2026-07-20: no call (score 52) — stock went -0.61% over the next 7 days2026-07-21: no call (score 46) — stock went +2.22% over the next 7 days2026-07-22: no call (score 47) — stock went +4.74% over the next 7 days2026-07-23: no call (score 44) — stock went +4.39% over the next 7 days2026-07-24: no call (score 46) — stock went +5.32% over the next 7 days2026-07-27: no call (score 46) — stock went +6.00% over the next 7 days2026-07-28: no call (score 56) — stock went +1.15% over the next 7 days2026-07-29: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.94% over the next 7 days2026-07-30: we said DOWN (score 40), stock went -2.59% over the next 7 days — RIGHT2026-07-31: no call (score 48) — stock went -2.14% over the next 7 days2026-08-03: no call (score 48) — stock went +0.10% over the next 7 daysMay 5Aug 3
we made a call and were rightwe made a call and were wrongno call that day

Each bar is what BMW.DE actually did over the 7 days after one of our published scores — up bars, the stock rose; down bars, it fell. A “call” is a day the score left the middle zone (above 60 = we said up, below 40 = we said down), and it's counted right only if the stock then moved our way. Faint bars are days we made no call — saying “we don't know” is allowed here. These are raw counts on one stock, far too few to prove skill either way — the serious, pre-registered test across all 1,001 stocks is the public bet.